Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2017

October 21, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Diva On a Dime 0.00 0.9 2-1
1 1 Sinful Pleasures 0.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Flutie 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Miss Jamaica 0.00 3 6-1
3 3 Shaunessy 0.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Kinzua 0.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
5 5 Bold Mya 0.00 4.7 9-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Eminent Force 0.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Best Bard 0.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Sweet Little Man 0.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ethical Funds 0.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Maxsmiraclejourney 0.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Butterfly Dance 0.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Princess Bullet 0.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Tancook 0.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Paddy Point 0.00 3 6-1
7 6 Boldnpossible 0.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Missy Crissy 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Conquer the Course 0.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
6 5 Glib Marylin 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 The Craic 0.00 1.7 3-1
10 8 Luckfromabove (IRE) 0.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Madison Way 0.00 3 6-1
6 5 Subzero Plus 0.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
1 1 Lillie’s Answer 0.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Pretty Two Faced 0.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
12 12 Broken Meadow 0.00 6 11-1 Scr
7 6 Stormy Perfection 0.00 7.7 15-1
11 9 Thora Barber (GB) 0.00 7.7 15-1
13 10 Aciano 0.00 8.1 15-1
14 14 Sky Vision 0.00 8.1 15-1 Scr
2 2 Phil’s Glory 0.00 8.6 16-1 Scr
3 2 Whatta Girl 0.00 10.3 19-1
4 3 Turbo Driven Diva 0.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Mahogany Cat 0.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Skippy Is Back 0.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 I Zoom 0.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Splendid Glory 0.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
5 4 Unseen Angels 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Midnight Brew 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Spanish Trick 0.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
9 7 Bangla Dancer 0.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Mrs. Fouad 0.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 McGarrett 0.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Sunny’s Rainbow 0.00 3 6-1 Scr
4 4 Ratface Macdougall 0.00 3 6-1
7 7 Tale of Ronin 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 First Goal 0.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Front Nine 0.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Silent Flash 0.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Salieri 0.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Split My Pants 0.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Sing to Run 0.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 Ryoan 0.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 String Bikini 0.00 2.6 5-1 Scr
2 2 Iris Will 0.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
6 5 Viva Nevada 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Sierra Angel 0.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Image of Lucy 0.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Court Deputy 0.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bunty Lawless S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 San Nicola Thunder 0.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Call Me Wally 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Internal Bourbon 0.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Where’s the Widget 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Nipigon 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mr Havercamp 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Born in a Breeze 0.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Wittle Wed Wabbit 0.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Marten River 0.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Speightstown Time 0.00 3 6-1
7 7 Aaronic Blessing 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Perfect Forester 0.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Creeping Barrage 0.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Ethanol 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Real Coal 0.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Cardinal Sin 0.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Bearseeker 0.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Forest Castle 0.00 3 6-1
9 9 Master Macduff 0.00 3 6-1
1 1 Rocket Plan 0.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Big Daddy Bear 0.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 March to My Tune 0.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Hythe 0.00 6 11-1
4 4 Chief Joseph 0.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Fine Grit 0.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Red Romeo 0.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.