October 21, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lindante | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indavidualist | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gentrified | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Real Big Deal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gunslinger | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mimis Big Boy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giro Candito | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Chromium | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Crazy Uncle Rick | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Curly’s Rocket | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Italiano | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big and Loud | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Concur | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greyvitos | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blame the Rider | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Getaloadofthis | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Hombre | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Fuel | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | General Ike | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excessive Kid | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Verraco | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Defiantly | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Willows Babe | 1.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dovetail | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Millie Joel | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dialed to Go | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Kitaen | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Justabean | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Chepis | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Star | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – California Flag H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Richard’s Boy | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Rush Dancer | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tribalist | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | B Squared | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Troutman | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Tovar | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | California Diamond | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fracas | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angelina’s Heaven | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halo Girl | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gray Diva | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Song | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Slew | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Novafactum | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anuska Thunder | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shook | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Guy Code | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cherubim | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heir of Storm | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | G. A. Betting | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetwater Gal | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Frac Candy | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Swiss Minister | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lambo Luxx | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Wind | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | That’s a Lady | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spooky Woods | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Force (GER) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Time for Ebby | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Lilly | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Merirosvo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Temple Princess | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rag Top | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Time to Play | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Polished | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Casino Red (IRE) | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scat Home Lady | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Union | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Paved | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conformation | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Light | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All Net | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harmony Victory | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Biscate | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.