October 21, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aztec Delite | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Onefor Thegripper | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Revenueneutral | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenzies Flair | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Thief | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toast to Michael | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calebs Gift | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lanies Choice | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roger Brown | 1.80 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cons Percussion | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Aubrey’s Mission | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Daddy Brahms | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Count That | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Williamette Valley | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frisky Breeze | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | U. S. Sterling | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Gal Pal | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crown Express | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Ante | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Greeley’s Doll | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lass | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play the Field | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jewels of Sorce | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Rahfees Man | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nippy Red | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Glorious Day | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Patriot Father | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Custom Bling | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Private Prowl | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | It’s a Sweet One | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aw Shucks | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Four G’s | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Strollin Spree | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pound for Pound | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R. C. Owens | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tiz a Par | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sinister Spinner | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Dynamic Decision | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Cycle | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kayne’spotofgold | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Passing Simon | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Adieu Gerald | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Like a Deputy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kira’s King | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zarking | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hero’s Divide | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Kay Sara | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kelcorcee | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Booth Road Ozzie | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Singing Aces | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Drewstormin | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Customized | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Alexander | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Arthur | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scoot Too | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gabanator | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Successful Story | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Onesimus | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | New Orleans Spice | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Yes Babe | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Glitz N Glam | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Diva’s Ransom | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Show’em the Heat | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz the Time | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mt. Rain | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’wild Muffin | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mine Yours an Ours | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Had a Baby | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heaven’s Devil | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alabama Slim | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chad Be Glad | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Solid South | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deadly Truth | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quiet Seduction | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glory Kingdom | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Castlederg | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Under and Over | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Gator | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Underpressure | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mageez | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Pulaski | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just Stormin | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Knockit Off | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tip Tap Tapizar | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zendelphian | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Nubin Ridge | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Genghis | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Berniestrike | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Misfit | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arkansas Martini | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Heaven | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fiji D | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Persuade Me Lady | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prada’s Bling | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Doll | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Panoe | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suppose So | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Valor | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Line Running Lass | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Mallory | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Archarityrobbyn | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Party | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Look At Corkie Fly | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Brahms | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pay Me N Pennies | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sneauxed On | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Flame N Jane | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Azuralee | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risen Cork | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D D’s Delight | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.