October 21, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 6 |
6 |
Catalodge |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Tootsie On a Roll |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Shack’s Legacy |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
| 7 |
7 |
Andrea’s Hope |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Blackdiamond Dream |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Shezastraybullet |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Peggys Music Maker |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
| 5 |
5 |
Angels Altar |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 6 |
7 |
Drummer Don |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
| 7 |
8 |
Albertos Al Quinto |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
| 1A |
5 |
Witchy’s Laststand |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Maggie I’ll Find U |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
| 5 |
6 |
Jai Blue |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Brahms Romp |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Nekia |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Mr. McGoey |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 1A |
6 |
Hey Niki |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
| 3 |
2 |
Restless Spirit |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
| 7 |
7 |
Missive |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
| 4 |
3 |
Two Shy |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
| 10 |
9 |
Fighting Glory |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
| 8 |
9 |
Royalty for Life |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
| 2 |
1 |
A Jumpinanda Jivin |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
| 1 |
4 |
Flashy Trick |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
| 5 |
4 |
Trickizar |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
| 6 |
5 |
Super Duper Girl |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
| 9 |
8 |
My Silver Belle |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 7 |
7 |
Vivid Image |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Zapata |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
| 5 |
5 |
Devin’s Posse |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
| 6 |
6 |
I Heart Junior |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Forged Signature |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Who Broke the Bank |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Seventysevenwilow |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Moonlight Raid |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 1 |
3 |
It’s My Way |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
| 1A |
4 |
Brahms Breeze |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
| 6 |
6 |
Tartan the Bull |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
| 4 |
2 |
Dixies Drama Debut |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
| 5 |
5 |
My Friend Linus |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
| 9 |
8 |
Papa Joel |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
| 2 |
1 |
Johnwannabehenry |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
| 3 |
1 |
Pecos Bill |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
| 7 |
7 |
Double Derby Perks |
3.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
| 8 |
9 |
Gilgimesh |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 8 |
6 |
Papacho |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
| 11 |
11 |
Gasprom |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
| 7 |
5 |
Let Him Shine |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Majestic Doctor |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
| 5 |
4 |
Rahrahrah |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
| 6 |
6 |
High Frequency |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
| 9 |
7 |
Ziwiye |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Prince of Kentucky |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Arrivano |
2.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
| 4 |
3 |
Moonstricking |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
| 10 |
8 |
Love the Beat |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 14 |
14 |
Email |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
| 7 |
6 |
Inspire Me |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
| 13 |
11 |
Caladonia |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Bangle |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
| 8 |
7 |
Purring Valentine |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
| 15 |
15 |
Fourscoreandseven |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
| 10 |
9 |
Paddy’s Gal Rosie |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
| 5 |
4 |
Track Magic |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
| 11 |
10 |
Fair City Girl |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
| 12 |
12 |
Toquette |
8.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
| 9 |
8 |
Smoochin Candy |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Ready Set Shop |
8.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
| 6 |
5 |
Misdriven |
15.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Broadway Peggy |
15.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Hope for the Dance |
20.00 |
15 |
28-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 7 |
6 |
To the Flag |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
| 4 |
3 |
Fillupcohensapiker |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Star Studded |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
| 1 |
1 |
Sonora |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
| 2 |
2 |
Society Hill |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
| 6 |
5 |
Angel At War |
1.60 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
| 5 |
4 |
Code Name Taurus |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 3 |
2 |
Ocala Chrome |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 5 |
5 |
Nonno |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
| 3 |
3 |
Mission of Honor |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
| 9 |
9 |
Flash Sica |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
| 7 |
7 |
Tap City |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
| 8 |
8 |
Marque Mark |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
| 2 |
2 |
Double Luck |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
| 11 |
9 |
Run Kid Run |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
| 1 |
1 |
Arnina |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
| 12 |
12 |
Cowboy Chrome |
3.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
| 10 |
8 |
Lovely Lad |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
| 14 |
11 |
Littlebuzz |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
| 13 |
10 |
Dixie Romance |
12.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
| 15 |
12 |
Art Bijou (ARG) |
10.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
Mister Obvious |
8.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
| 6 |
6 |
Tiger’s Cave |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
| 1 |
1 |
MISS PARADISE |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
| 5 |
3 |
RISKY RED |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
| 8 |
6 |
SERGEANT PEPPER MHF |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
| 7 |
5 |
CAPTAIN BUSH |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
| 1A |
8 |
LIL DUDE AA |
1.60 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 3 |
2 |
BELLFASTT |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 2 |
1 |
IN X HESS |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
| 6 |
4 |
RB SAND CASTLE |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
| 4 |
4 |
SOME BEACH SOMEWHERE |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
| 9 |
7 |
OMEGA CS |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
