October 20, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Icy Street | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Odyssey Explorer | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Acker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bellerin | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Music | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wise Curlin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Magico | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cozmic One | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Tuscany Beauty | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Journeyonthemove | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rizzi’s Honors | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magical Lucy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jenna’s Faith | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Bookin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warren’s Purrfect | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fact of Life | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tillie’s Lily | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swirling | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sturdy One | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snow Cloud (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Betty Draper | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King of Leon (ARG) | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Mojo | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caray | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Psychedelicat | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chin Tu | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dominant Don | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street to Indy | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sonnet’s Joy | 50.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Napper Tandy | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Miss Derby | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solar Corona | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsy Treasure | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Knowitallhousewife | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chay Up and Away | 0.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Molinita | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Love | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atchafalaya | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Friendly Outthedor | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Soul | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shaky Alibi | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Taniko | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Combat Zone | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saltini | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cascade Rock (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfection Tale | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Kona Coast | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Axelrod | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Builder | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hydrostatic | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ima Take Charge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Psycho Dar | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Walk On Water | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Causeforcommotion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scandal | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Delectable | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Troy | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boldest Vow | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blossom Trail Miss | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Prophet | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glory and Power | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bee Sweet | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Kitten | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.