Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 20, 2017

October 20, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Stronger Than Ever 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Julia’s Kitty 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Harbor Lights 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Glamorized 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Volodina 2.50 5 9-1
1 1 Lesia Jane 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Blue Ridge Girl 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Spearette 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Nautia 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Mygraciegirl 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Kickin Grass 30.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Greeley and Ariana 8.00 6 11-1
11 11 Norwegian Lady 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Candy Naples 15.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Awesome Gal 3.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 North Captiva 20.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Gerlinde 20.00 10.3 19-1
7 7 Marmee 8.00 10.8 20-1
14 14 Perfect Prize 20.00 11.5 22-1 Scr
13 13 Kitty Express 15.00 12.8 24-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Abbaa 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 John’s Luck 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Reigning Catfish 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Fourth of July 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Bourbon Cowboy 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Manhattan Mischief 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sharp Art 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Ultra Arumba (BRZ) 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Basheba 20.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Teacup Twirl 4.50 4.3 8-1 Scr
5 5 Dixie Lover 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 La Majestique 12.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Heavenly Daze 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Capriasca 10.00 7 13-1
14 14 Pocketfullofgreen 6.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
3 3 Wishihada 5.00 8 15-1
1 1 Like a Haint 5.00 9 17-1
6 6 District Attorney 12.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Brilliant Belle 10.00 11 21-1
8 8 Lucky Me Lucky You 30.00 13.3 25-1
13 13 Thirty Eight Plus 30.00 13.8 26-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Quail Hunt 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Forgotten Coast 4.00 2.8 5-1
16 16 Non Regrette 15.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
10 10 Up the Ante 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Violent Storm 12.00 6 11-1
13 13 Novus 15.00 6 11-1 Scr
11 11 Kentucky Kitten 8.00 6.5 12-1
15 15 Honey Dont 4.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
3 3 Neverquitdreaming 15.00 9.3 17-1
5 5 Dixieland Rags 20.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Beckham’s Joy 10.00 10 19-1
8 8 Jacktastic 10.00 11 21-1
12 12 Front Door 10.00 12.8 24-1
14 14 Solar Warming 20.00 13.8 26-1 Scr
7 7 Middle of Nowhere 20.00 14 26-1
4 4 Rocket Warrior 15.00 15.3 29-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Huntin Buddy 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Total Cooperation 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Commandeering 2.00 4 8-1
1 1 Warrior’s Dream 15.00 4 8-1
7 6 Big Dollar Bill 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ragtime Rebel 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Fireball Shot 2.50 6.5 12-1 Scr
6 5 Mono 8.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Triple Chelsea 6.00 3 6-1
13 13 Snack Shack 10.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
1 1 Watch This Cat 5.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Sweet Angel Roan 30.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Clairenation 12.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Exaggerated 6.00 6.3 12-1
16 16 Seeknthegiantpearl 30.00 8 15-1 Scr
7 7 Marquee Miss 12.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Marquee Cal Gal 8.00 9.5 18-1
14 14 Miss Gossip (IRE) 15.00 9.8 18-1 Scr
8 8 Fair Point 3.00 10 19-1
15 15 Cousin Claire 30.00 11.5 22-1 Scr
9 9 Melaleuca 8.00 12 23-1
6 6 Dreamin 20.00 12.3 23-1
2 2 Chanteline 12.00 13.5 26-1
5 5 Ring Knocker 10.00 14 26-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Battle Colors 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Cedartown 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Gain Ground 10.00 3 6-1
4 4 Blueridge Traveler 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Uncle Mojo 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Win With Pride 12.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Tarpon Bay Road 4.00 7.5 14-1
10 8 Leading Cause 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Cass in Stone 30.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
8 8 Skinflint 20.00 9.8 18-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pin Oak Valley View S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Youngest Daughter 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Let It Ride Mom 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Journey Home 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Defiant Honor 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Chastise 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Lovely Bernadette 5.00 5.5 10-1
13 12 Sully’s Dream 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Fault 6.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Sweeping Paddy 8.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
12 11 Fizzy Friday (GB) 15.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 Dolce Lili 12.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 I’m Betty G 8.00 11.5 22-1
15 15 Dancing Breeze (IRE) 30.00 12.8 24-1 Scr
14 13 Ladies’ Privilege 15.00 13.3 25-1
4 4 Princess La Quinta 20.00 14.8 28-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Linburgh’s Kitten 4.50 1.3 2-1 Scr
8 6 Secret Speed 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 5 Grateful Cause 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Travelling Midas 10.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
4 3 Demolition 15.00 6 11-1
13 9 Rigged 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 7 Karen’s Cove 4.50 6.8 13-1
10 8 Nottoway 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 Navy Armed Guard 6.00 9 17-1
12 12 Pryor 15.00 9 17-1 Scr
1 1 Oh My Kitten 6.00 9.5 18-1 Scr
2 1 Best of Greeley 10.00 11 21-1
3 2 Blaze a Trail 15.00 12.5 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.