October 20, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Quality | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star Guitarist | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C C’s Baby Girl | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sabe Marcelete | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Sue | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lute Song | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Nice Rags | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wineonthelevee | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Czarmo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Destinator | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Error Code | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hubert Junior | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Minister Henny | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Ethan’s Landing | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sandana Heat | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jazz Talk | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Bird | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pummy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Afoolandhismoney | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Old Fashion Amour | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Prayer | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honest Woman | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mila’s Gold | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | A Toast to Gertie | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Muskarella | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | De Last Dance | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Hunky Dory | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Valentine | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Suckerforagrey | 4.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Sassy Butclassy | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Exotic Sin | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Destiny’s Port | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Nala | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spicy Afleet | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eddie’s Deal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Ruston | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tinc | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unveil | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gato Mojado | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy and Rich | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sir Advent | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mallory’s Bandit | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Shout | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alex’s Turn | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kate’s Dancer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | C R Knight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Smile | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Q’ Mark | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Buxton Boy | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | River Bobcat | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | No Game for Sissys | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Il Est Vite | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carmens Catcher | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mack’s Champ | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Sopo | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sarge N Charge | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’wildsummersfun | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sports Book | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mickey | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Dry Wood Creek | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camp Sawyer | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Spree | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Glitters | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Posse Dreamin | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Biblical Strength | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Smoothmoney | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonder Run | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | It’s Time to B | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brutus Hughes | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snapper Bite | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Galaxy Builder | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 6 | Top Cat Boogie | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Senor Grits | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Magnolia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Pacific Pink | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dixie Brees | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Long Legged Model | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Strike Pleasure | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Another Pinot | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pera | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Castle Zip | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zarb’s Brite Lite | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Empressive Road | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Bandit | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Mamma | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Silver Oaks | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ojos Corazon | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Taylor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sittin On Cotton | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twist Tail | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Life | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fort Stevens | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canadian Fireball | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Bandit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ride | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stack House | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R. V.’s Express | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Blues | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Yankee | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brylee’s Deelite | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dipper Pines | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Poppa Stoppa | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Father George | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.