October 20, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flowers for Lisa | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marriage Fever | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marriedtothemusic | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prophet’s Cat | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Praetereo | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | For Greater Glory | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silky Way | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklyn Speights | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Morning Daddy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory’s Cash | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Man of Chrome | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Artic Storm Cat | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Donald Problem | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fleet Admiral | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Minus Two | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Westerdale | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mask | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dirty | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Munnys | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Navistar | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time On Target | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Mascarello | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Escape Velocity | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Son of Oahu | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lost Iron | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Miles of Humor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Holiday | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Chester | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Independent Worker | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Money Illusion | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Familyofroses | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shimmering Moon | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moondance Joy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Mara | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Special Dividend | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Court Dancer | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Dream Trip | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soglio | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Long Night | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Itsabigboy | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hy Brasil | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gehrig | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nutzforboltz | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bunyaan | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Peculiar Sensation | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bluegrass Singer | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Schivarelli | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bolita Boyz | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saucy Don | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancetrack | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Promises | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Anytime Anyplace | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Still Krz | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Twister | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gold Shield | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Approval | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Sea (FR) | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Moon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Securitiz | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Call Provision | 1.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Star | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Delta Outlaw | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thaddeus | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Here and There | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Combat Controller | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Little Schmo | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rossie Val | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Union | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Maurice | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kenyan | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.