October 16, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kim Dandy | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Turning the Table | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smoke Out | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Hen Madness | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Kalem | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sea Pebble | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lion Pride | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Likeitlikethat | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Telling You Twice | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swag (JPN) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muchacho Dude | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Good | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lake Creek | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Instructor Kunu | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Notorious Cowboy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mach Trial | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Behzad’s Pride | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Luxury | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marble Falls | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Beauziggity | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Royal Moment | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Abide by Me | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Thought Partner | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Knutsford Park | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Awake At T Wire | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mid Ocean | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Can’tmakethisup | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Supah Czech | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Real Power | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wondering Ways | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War At Sunrise | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Play Me Now | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Wrote the Script | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fake Frontier | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Junior Jokester | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Please Humor Me | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Weatherurnot | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alexia | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bringhomethecrown | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My City | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sterlings Dolly | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bear Moon | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Summer Cocktail | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Virginia Rose | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 8 | Lethal Lil Lady | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roethlisberger | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby the Brain | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D. S. Boyd | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Sunset Arch | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soby Junior | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleetfootmac | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cute as a Button | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Believe in Angels | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | French Nouget | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gia Alexa | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | African Wildcat | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Babie Monster | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sofia Maria R. | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Floating By | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scorpion Dancer | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | UPTOWN FLYING FLYNN | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | LET IT BE ME | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | COLORS IN MOTION | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | DBON TEMP ROULER | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | GENOVA JOE | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | SMOKE EN FIRE | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | SOME BEACH SOMEWHERE | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | BIG INFECTION | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.