October 15, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Marriedtothemusic | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love That Jazz | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | West Hills Giant | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fratello Del Nord | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brimstone | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jet Black | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sol the Freud | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Zealous | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gifted Lady | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Electric | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Equalityforall | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hopefully | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | In It for the Gold | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bail | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | China Rider | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spanker | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samara | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Happy Like a Fool | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Charge Paula | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Graeme | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valuable Package | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tarawa | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Right On | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Elenathena | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | She’s Da Nuts | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lillard Hall | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solitary Gem | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Money Purse | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toni Rox | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Timeless Beauty | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Glow Goddess | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Kapalua Starlight | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Avery Maeve | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Way | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Fahan Mura | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamic War | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Short Kakes | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Hannah’s Smile | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Reckless Humor | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Puparee | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Cat | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Banty’s Girl | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indygita | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 11 | Smokin Platinum | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | New York Hero | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | My Mr. Wonderful | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diamond Setter | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Candy Zip | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foolish Ghost | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | San Juan Diego | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Flash Drive | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Violent Delights | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lutheran Rags | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Danny California | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dig That Mine | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Jayvien | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Shook Em Up | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Phi Beta Express | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Air Vice Marshal | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cavil | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Posse | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rappel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Next Shares | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lord of Love | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Portando | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hardened | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New York Song | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snake Oil Charlie | 50.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | So Noted | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ryder Road | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nobody Move | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | John’s Island | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giantinthemoonlite | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Buff | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Proper Freud | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Feed Me Carats | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope’s Roar | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nile Princess | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cap’s Vow | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Rain in Spain | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Sly Ranger | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | She Remembered | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Jennifer’s Legacy | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Votre Coeur | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Woundwithhereyes | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Freudee | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Quanique | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Promise | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 12 | Grande Beso | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Emiliana’s Hope | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hyde Park Express | 30.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.