Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 14, 2017

October 14, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Salsa Bay 0.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Ultimate Destiny 0.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Bear’sway 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Eirigh 0.00 3 6-1
5 5 Bear At Last 0.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Ault 0.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Cito 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Kasseopia (GB) 0.00 0.9 2-1
6 6 Lookin At Bravo 0.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Fire for Effect 0.00 3 6-1
1 1 Forest Brother 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Major Eclipse 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mick the Conqueror 0.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Jupiter’s Eagle 0.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Dolly Dagger 0.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Night Gathers (IRE) 0.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Edisto Island 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Canadian Club Eh 0.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Spun From Gold 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Treasure Finder 0.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Two Tribes 0.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 5 Media Melee 0.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Star Contender 0.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Big Yum 0.00 3.9 7-1 Scr
8 8 Spring Up 0.00 3.9 7-1 Scr
1 1 Roxy’s Vision 0.00 4.7 9-1
7 4 Sumerian Bell 0.00 5.1 10-1
6 3 Trouble in Phoenix 0.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Crushin Hard 0.00 6 11-1 Scr
2 2 Three Ring Circus 0.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
12 6 Th Original Scotty 0.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Niigon Road 0.00 9 17-1 Scr
5 5 Liddyup 0.00 9.9 19-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Rockport Dancer 0.00 0.9 2-1
2 2 Lyla Lorraine 0.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Triple Chocolate 0.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Corey’s Best 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Victorian Lass 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Katrina’s Way 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Brews Toonie Toss 0.00 6 11-1
8 8 Mizzona 0.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Harper P M 0.00 1.7 3-1
10 8 Bobby’s Escape 0.00 2.1 4-1
2 1 Follow My Lead 0.00 3 6-1
6 5 Mighty Zeus 0.00 3 6-1
3 2 Toupha 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Kitten’s Boy 0.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Terrafirma 0.00 6 11-1
4 3 Gold Backed 0.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Marselan 0.00 6.9 13-1 Scr
9 9 Bent Crowbar 0.00 6.9 13-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Synthesize 0.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Timeiseverything 0.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Gamble’s Citizen 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Perlarana 0.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Executive Sight 0.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ben Lomond 0.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Storm Ruler 0.00 6 11-1
7 7 Leo From Heaven 0.00 6 11-1
5 5 Majestic Fever 0.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Areocentric 0.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Where’s the Gold 0.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Victorian Queen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Hatch Gate 0.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Rosemere 0.00 3 6-1
6 6 Mega Monster 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Line of Vision 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 She’s the Berries 0.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Without a Doubt 0.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Silent Sinner 0.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Miss Honeypotts 0.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Lassie’s Tears 0.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Bellamentary 0.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Scotty’s Model 0.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Conquest City Girl 0.00 3 6-1
3 3 Generous Touch 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Blurricane 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 West L. A. Girl 0.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Vaughan 0.00 1.3 2-1
12 10 Monastrell 0.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Brightstone Bay 0.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
6 5 Matthew’s Ridge 0.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Lion Lord 0.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
11 9 Divine Ami 0.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 English Classic 0.00 6 11-1
7 6 Southern Greatness 0.00 6 11-1
9 7 Macho Dancer 0.00 6 11-1
3 2 Intent to Strike 0.00 7.7 15-1
10 8 Apollo Benfica 0.00 8.1 15-1
4 3 Nature’s Fortune 0.00 9.9 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.