October 14, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Lunar Rover |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
So Kitten |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Zipped Code |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Nice Surprise |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lure of the South |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dimension |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cheddar Chub |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Pretty Venezuela |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Icona |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Blackbirdhasspoken |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Fautive |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Kelly and Kiley |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Jeanjeannie |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Savannah’s Dream |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
She’s Holy |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
She’s Sassy |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Herecomeskat |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Banana Anna |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Play It Forward |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Stolen Victory |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Empress Caro |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Miss Motivation |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
4 |
Incubator |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1A |
7 |
Swiping Dan |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Tattered |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Tap Rap Strike |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Nitro Fuel |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Irish Corny |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
High Risk Strategy |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Shotmaster |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Mystery Train (ARG) |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Speightshill |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Quality Interest |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Southside Warrior |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mills |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tarpy’s Surprise |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Chunnel |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Fearthefalcon |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Space Shuttle |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Town Policy |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Two Steppin |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Brother Chub |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Road Guard Post |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Malibu Action |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Clear Prosperity |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
True Boldness |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Condo King |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
This Might Be |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Smarty Mr D |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wild Willy Dean |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sunshine Mark |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ecliptical Jack |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Poised for Action |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Full of Charge |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Amblin Man |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Thomas Knight |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
People’s Champ |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Rare Candy |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Watch My Dust |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mister Henry Lee |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Blame Us All |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
El Grillo |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
To the Victor |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Stadium |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Play It Again |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Two Step Temper |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ghareeb |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
W. Giles |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Richie’s Rich |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
El Potro |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Avalanche Rock |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Neilos |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Police Escort |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pintoresco |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.