October 13, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sindys Luck | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | To the Bar | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rafter One | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Dukes Up | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Special Story | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gunslinger | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rim Ditch | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shezaspanishdancer | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D D’s Lute | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Slick Chick | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exuberance | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johansson | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Ann | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cordiality | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Earring | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Space Cadet | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamic Mizzes K | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | How Unusual | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laseen (IRE) | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ginga (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Happy Maggie | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unchanged | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rossmoor Way | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sauce On Side | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Winsinfashion | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stylitude | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Bit Lovely | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pleasant as Pie | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Allsquare | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gift of a Star | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wedding Blush | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summertimemischief | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Warm Endowment | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gogoula | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Starlet Storm | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Ricochet | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ransomed | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kentan Road | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Complimenti | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hansen Tale Blues | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart of the Nile | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duranga | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Linda | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Desert General | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Touch | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kona Dreams | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quality Line | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trustworthy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trapalanda | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mercer Island | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rings of Jupiter | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Popular Kid | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saldamente | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sixes | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Californium | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Milhaud | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Wit and Wisdom | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beloved Holiday | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Malibu d’Oro | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Air On Fire | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Member State (GB) | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Unnamed Source | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bombshell Tonight | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Awesome Heights | 5.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Captain Walker | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbonmademedoit | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.