October 13, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Ferdinanda |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Luna |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Madame Milan |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Box Carr |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Mame |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Mihrab |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Hills of Beverly |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Estrella Grande |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Dancingwithpaynter |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Patriot |
5.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
For Kicks |
8.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Welly |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Love You Back |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Grande Shores |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Atascaderan |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
E. M. Maximus |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Je Ne Sais Pas |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Final Forum |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
D N A Approved |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Cedar Chest (IRE) |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Prevailing Party |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Guess What |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
She’s Always Ready |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Iquique (FR) |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Lemon Drop Kitty |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Stealing Holly |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Peace Front |
4.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sarah’s Treasure |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
13 |
11 |
Everything’s Copa |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Dumtadumtadum |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Elude |
8.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Stated |
12.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Fly E Dubai |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mr. Smarty Pants |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Capt. Grider |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Love You Much |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Don’t Poke the Cat |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Colonel Andy |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Legal Precedent |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Totaled the Benz |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Correjon |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Offlee Brawn |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Stilburnin |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6A |
6 |
Squashville Road |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bull Ensign |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7A |
7 |
Three Beans |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Deal Driven |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sir Luca Richard |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Abdaar |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tightly Bridled |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
Scr |
5 |
1 |
Speedy Slew |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Skippin to Victory |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Saint Ignatius |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
14 |
5 |
Sunrise Sunset |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
15 |
6 |
Loconotion |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mar Vista Miguel |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
7 |
2 |
Chilly Magician |
15.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
He’s a Pussy Cat |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Appealing Future |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Chasintheblues |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Stay Home |
1.60 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Gator Boy |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Im Charming |
20.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
11 |
3 |
Princetonian |
10.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
13 |
4 |
Spoiled by God |
20.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Ten Hut |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
6 |
Boca Scuttlebutt |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Awesome Bill |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
North Ocean |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Prime Time Man |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Intrepid Citizen |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Master Jordan |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Barney Rebel (IRE) |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Odlum |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Put It Forward |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Jump Street Hero |
12.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Hip Hop |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Raspberry Swirl |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Dynashe |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Theodosia |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ephesians Six |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Arbutus |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ridgemont High |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Vente to Go |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
All Good Times |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Saturday’s Rein |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Elamelia |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Majestic Pic |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Noble Nation |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Grand Lassie |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
4 |
Chobee Girl |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Conjecture |
4.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Spicy Dancer |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Petticoatsnpistols |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Five Smooth Stones |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Beatubyachubinose |
3.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Perfect Party Girl |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Nina’s Patience |
8.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Scr |
16 |
9 |
Out of Juice |
20.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Just So Story |
10.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
Scr |
15 |
8 |
Wiggle Room |
15.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.