October 13, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Refinance | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archival | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Chaser | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Micozzi | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romanologist | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Competitiveness | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dublin Express | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | There They Go | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ifyousnoozeyoulose | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drover Crazy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pedro Cerrano | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Global Positioning | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Not Beaucette | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Major League | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lyrical Miracle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Build to Suit | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Timber | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lasting Legacy | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Planet Trailblazer (BRZ) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cinderela El Crome | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Skyler’s Lil Cutie | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out of Nowhere | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Motif | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | The Two Nancy’s | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Smart Throb | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Burkey’s Babe | 0.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Live That Fantasy | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 11 | Ava Rae | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Rockette | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wanna Be Regal | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Youth Gone Wild | 3.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Galway Girl | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Allyn | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Cetara | 3.50 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bowl of Kisses | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Alva T Soup | 30.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Ventry Bay | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curtis | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Forge | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Northern | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Holding Aces | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Sethary | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here and There | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Axtell | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Psychic Energy | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Heldatgunpoint | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bad Guy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Help Myself | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Five Star Bunt | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sicilia Sal | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Huntsman | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Hot Rocks | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shiny Medal | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Skittles | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chic N Wilbur | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ambition Mission | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 8 | Altar Boy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flash Trading | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Sigh | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | I’ll Call | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marriage Fever | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Spin Cycle | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Souperfast | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lewis Vale | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of New York | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Poshsky | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 2A | 2 | For Greater Glory | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fire Away | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monster Bea | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Lot | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tombelaine | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Team Colors | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Knight | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Changewilldoyagood | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vision Perfect | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Merger of Banks | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dezzer | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Threesuesjazzcat | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Equal the Score | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shamrock Kid | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Panama Ed | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Goals | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justifiable | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guy American Dream | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | I’m Not Funny | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.