October 12, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Itasca Falls | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Spice Girl | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Value | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Modela | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theresa’s Honor | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Wedding | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belle of Bowdoin | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sleepin N Cheatin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mission of Honor | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Know What Im Sayin | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cleave | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tado | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rogue Warrior | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flatteroni | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sam Sparkle | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jockey Jills Dream | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wise Mac | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burford | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Port More | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Distinctivelygreat | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oxford Street | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spare the Kid | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | G. I. Girl | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cat Giumarello | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Nusta | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Chief Inca | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ocala Chrome | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Waterbug | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Let the Music Play | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Papacho | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Question | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Harold | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Song | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ziwiye | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strawberry Red | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Frequency | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Read All About It | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Thunder | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Baby I’m Blue | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Baby Run to Me | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Skirts On Fire | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Stop Believn | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fleur de Force | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormy Salute | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gasprom | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wing Fighter | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Doctor | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let Him Shine | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Far From Awesome | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bird Quest | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | N E Johnny Francis | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prestons Princess | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady’s Island | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boheme de Lavi | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Staff Sgt Reckless | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maria Got Even | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Key | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Souper Knight | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Safe | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paddington Express | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Far From Normal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Da Winner Is | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Abouthe Salsa | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Irish | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.