October 12, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gata’s Applause | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Viradia | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Caoimhe | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Kelly Go | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Return to Vegas | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Roxy Girl | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chenais’ Posse | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mojito Margarita | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rapid Route | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance for Mon | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Discomania | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 12A | 12 | Girlie’s Dream | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Winner’s Dream | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Magician’s Vanity | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz a Kitten | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | About That Base | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baronet | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gobi | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Preziosa | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Palace | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Martino | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mollica | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bar None | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bunyaan | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prize Fight | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Orphan Miracle | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honorable Jonas | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. McFrosty | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun for Hire | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Seal | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Magnetron | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Rockin Jo | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Jaye Jaye | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Now a Factor | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Danny California | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Cross Multiply | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conforto | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Accolade | 3.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Paynter’s Prize | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bingo Smith | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Powerstroke | 6.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Purring On Empty | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ten Eyck | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Rollo Lothbrok | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lewyville | 12.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Rainy Night | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bahnahno | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Lynnie B | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | B Three | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | For Honor | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Put On a Show | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daring Prospect | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Iwishirish | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Our Whim | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thirtydaysinjune | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Dude | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Only One Wish | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Forres Lily | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | There He Goes | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Get Game | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enchanted Forest | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Light the Vow | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Wicked | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Givetheman a Cigar | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Barefoot Angel | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Catapult Jack | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | For Pops | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O Captainmycaptain | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Source Control | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ferrad’s Party | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alexander David | 3.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thenameescapesme | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tyndall | 50.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Economic Model | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Royal | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Touchofstarquality | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Red Rifle | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Daddy (CHI) | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Knight | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Vulcan’s Forge | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Backsideofthemoon | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Harlan Punch | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Abiding Star | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Weekend Express | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Town | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Realm | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Snap Decision | 1.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kantune | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cerise’s Prince | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Strike Midnight | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Herecomesyourman | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silberado | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brianbakescookies | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cumulative | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Street Review | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harlan’s Hunch | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pawn It Back | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wingman | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Author | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Admirals Cove | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knight Errant | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Workingforaliving | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jones Taxi | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.