October 9, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hero Ten All | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Picture Tube | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ky. Colonel | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Full Access | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sahara Storm | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Curly’s Waterfront | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Airlite | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have Some Pride | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Buddha | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | This Town | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Alex | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Besides the Point | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sally Simpson | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coronado Cool | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stir Fry | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Passion for Papa | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carrie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flower Heart Deer | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fashion Fair | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seaquet | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Hold That Smile | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugaratsundown | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Twisted Rosie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | We Will Re Joyce | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Move | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mis Viola | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Summer | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thursdays Angel | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Zuri Chop (FR) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Yes Yes | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | General Ike | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Unusual Meeting | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Karma | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American League | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Defiantly | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taima the Hawk | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bedeviled | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Reign On (GB) | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paddock Pick | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Bay | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Talent Scout | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Point Guard | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Out Blitz | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beer Tap | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shivermetimbers | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cool Bobby | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desolation Sound | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Spring | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Zuma Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Restrainedvengence | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kazan (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cono | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Count Alexander | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Buzz | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | My Boy Jack | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Kylemore | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Armour Plate | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | For Him | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brave Helios | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Trusting Friend | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mantracker (IRE) | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Willows Babe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Innyminniemineymoe | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dream Proof | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goncharova | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fly as a Falcon | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitha Bonita | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Simone Bleu | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Lassie | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gray Diva | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Misty Slew | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Shining Beauty | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daylight Charger | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Oly Go | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kash Cookie | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Go Ghetto | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Seeking the West | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Golden One | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Story | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | War Union | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Lucky Patrick | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vibe | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beaumarchais | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ucanthankmelater | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mt. Leinster | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Curly Creek | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Surfer Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Retro | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Medaglia Gold | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Dash | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Fast Broad | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cute Knows Cute | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Multiplayer | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Breezy Bee | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Goodthingstaketime (IRE) | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Yesterday’s News | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fatale Bere (FR) | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deep Breath (IRE) | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Klosters (IRE) | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Puddles (IRE) | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Diver | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.