October 8, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Radiant Beauty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Night Owl | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kasbach | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Closing Statement | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Delta House | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Fern | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Incleveland | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Bird Key | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Kitten | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ultimate Cause | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunrise Ruby | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tisbury | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Canoe | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Questeq | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Hottie | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wish Upon | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | No Hiding Place | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockport Kat | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Bond | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | War Eagle’s Return | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Will Did It | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | At Guard | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Play Big | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Tug of War | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | Redhairdon’tcare | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Miss Aliphant | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Beyond Grace | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Lezendary | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Pecan Pattie | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | Take Charge Tina | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Princess Char | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Glossy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Shanghai Jewel | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solitary Gem | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Fly So High | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Karen’s Gem | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Queen Blossom (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paige | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Feeling Bossy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texting | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galileo’s Song (IRE) | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Evidently | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chicadoro (GB) | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Uncle Sigh | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Orino | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Startup Nation | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Broken Engagement | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Samadi Sky | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | With Exultation | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Control Group | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Belt | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yummy Bear | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dot Matrix | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cliffs of Dover | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chilly Bon Bon | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Leaveematthegate | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The J Y | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Frizette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Separationofpowers | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maya Malibu | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purrfect Miss | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caledonia Road | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Go | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Teen Angel | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Critique | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drama Run | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strategic Dreams | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wall of Compassion | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Flower Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Grand Jete (GB) | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dacita (CHI) | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zhukova (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beauly (GB) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Flag | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guilty Twelve | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Prognostication | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Herecomesyourman | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Polar City | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Panama Papers | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alpha Team | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Arch Contender | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wingman | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Street Review | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Champagne Papi | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Street Code | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cookie Crisp | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Shidoshi | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Author | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Knight Errant | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Zeppelin Ride | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Critics Award | 30.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.