October 7, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reality Queen | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | No Deal | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brattata | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cocktail Countess | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Time Lady | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Burak | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil T N Lorraine | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circle the Bases | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Patternrecognition | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Zeus | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hookup | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Copper Town | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glennrichment | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Belmont Turf Sprint Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Disco Partner | 0.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snowday (FR) | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Deer You | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Thunder | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Rye | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Get the Facts | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ambassador Jim | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Witch Doctor | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freedom Warrior | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blockade | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Power Boss | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Danny California | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Infield Is In | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Assay | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boru | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Patriot Drive | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hembree | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bootlegger (FR) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King of Spades | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shamcat | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Krampus | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | California Swing | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caribbean | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bartleby | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Allured | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12B | 10 | Montauk | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Labeq | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | St. Augustine | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kurosawa | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Regalian | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Power of Attorney | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13A | 11 | Classic Pursuit | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14B | 14 | Navistar | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 8A | 7 | Ego | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Triple Dog Dare | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Personal Time | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Las Vegas | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bridey’s Kitten | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Scarly Charly | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Helooksthepart | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tale of E Dubai | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Story to Tell | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Wildcat | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Power Nap | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Too Fast to Pass | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ifyousnoozeyoulose | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Monte Man | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Champagne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bahamian | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honorable Treasure | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kowboy Karma | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aveenu Malcainu | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stronger | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Good Magic | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hazit | 4.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Honey | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enticed | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Firenze Fire | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Manipulator | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Full of Run | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frostmourne | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ticonderoga | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rocketry | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucullan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yoshida (JPN) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hieroglyphics | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bricks and Mortar | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Small Bear | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secretary At War | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Jockey Club Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rally Cry | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keen Ice | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pavel | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diversify | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Destin | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Sky | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Samaritan | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Irish | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Minsky Moment | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mission Leader | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Island Therapy | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Knight | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prophet’s Cat | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Jupiter Rising | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Prophet | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Blame the Thief | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Clutch Cargo | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Third Son | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Bushmill Giant | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Street Fightin Man | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.