Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 6, 2017

October 6, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Riker 0.00 0.9 2-1
5 4 Ethanol 0.00 3 6-1
7 6 Marten Lake 0.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Red Fever 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Nashville Knight 0.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Villageofvibank 0.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Dan the Tin Man 0.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Bold Hope 0.00 5.6 11-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Miss Mandate 0.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Bilky Bluz 0.00 2.6 5-1 Scr
5 5 Winning Smile 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lillie’s Answer 0.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Ryoan 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Kate’s Whistle 0.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Flamenco Dancer 0.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tallievision 0.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Castle in the Sky 0.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Josie’s Riddle 0.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Holysnapeneyeballs 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Rock the House 0.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Trebek 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Ain’t My Fault 0.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 First Shot 0.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Behold He Cometh 0.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Big Red Bear 0.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Chic Thrill 0.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Scotty’s Model 0.00 3 6-1 Scr
4 4 Veaisha 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Run to the Beat 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Discreet Bear 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Copper Fox 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Street Cash 0.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Blurricane 0.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
3 3 Miss Sea 0.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 I Am Who I Am 0.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Bearseeker 0.00 3 6-1
8 8 Signature Heart 0.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hemmin and Hawin 0.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Big Daddy Bear 0.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 March to My Tune 0.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Seewill 0.00 6 11-1
10 10 Fine Grit 0.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Gordie Mac 0.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Red Romeo 0.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Wardo 0.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Glenville Gardens 0.00 0.9 2-1
2 2 Eminent Force 0.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Secret Passage 0.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Best Bard 0.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Scholar Athlete 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Southern Gem 0.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
3 3 Camp Creek 0.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Gamble’s Ghost 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Stella Rose 0.00 2.6 5-1
7 6 Moms Choice 0.00 3 6-1
1 1 Moonlight Sky 0.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
3 2 Into The Mystic (IRE) 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Ice Festival 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Sweater Weather 0.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 9 He Started It 0.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Kissoffire (IRE) 0.00 2.6 5-1
13 12 Laser Focus 0.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Arazi’s Gift 0.00 6 11-1
12 11 Shaking the Stage 0.00 6.4 12-1
14 13 D’s Dark Knight 0.00 6.4 12-1
15 14 Last Wan 0.00 6.9 13-1
16 16 Blue Wave 0.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
6 5 Call Me Gizmo 0.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Shanty Town 0.00 8.6 16-1
11 10 Toxicologist 0.00 8.6 16-1
5 4 Thornley 0.00 9 17-1
4 4 Redwood Leif 0.00 9 17-1 Scr
7 6 Tenebrae 0.00 10.3 19-1
8 7 Kabba 0.00 11.1 21-1
9 8 Milwaukee Saint 0.00 11.1 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.