October 6, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gio Game | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Love | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spanky | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Actress On Board | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Dream | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Mojo | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eight Minute Ellie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Delight | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Teodoro | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu At Midnight | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Weekend Town | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Trail | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Your Secret’s Safe | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kings Wish | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arizona | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Burgameister | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flatter the Queen | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Defense | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chargin Storm | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Patriot Song | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Douglas | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Dan | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unauthorized Use | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 11 | Blonde in the City | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Basheba | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Heavenly Daze | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Raise Your L Up | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Enchanted Facts | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Be a Factor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Mango’s Muse | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stella Nova | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annoy | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Cruizer | 4.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Yankee | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Starship Aquarius | 50.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Like a Haint | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Dustem Carolina | 8.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 12 | Lucky Me Lucky You | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Many Waters | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Dane (ITY) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Sky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Runninwiththewind | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Front Row Debbie | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sapphire Jubilee | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | House On the Hill | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shirocca (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swizzle | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Power | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anothertequilashot | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hopeful Joy | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Double Oaked | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Rollover Risk | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Moiety | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Confess | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Sweet Legacy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Always On My Mind | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Improv | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kinsley Kisses | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweet Halory | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blip n’ Th Bye | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Zippy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sharm El Sheikh | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin for Eight | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | United Stand | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surprise Twist | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Harlan Strong (ARG) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mr Dewey | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Curlins Pride | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Cite | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Troisade | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday Bonus | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Run Time | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Bond | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hart Hills Road | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Favorite Tale | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Whitmore | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Manning | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Limousine Liberal | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Banner | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Threefiveindia | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seventh Sense (TUR) | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncontested | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | It’s the Journey | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Richard the Great | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loose On the Town | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Darley Alcibiades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dancing | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kelly’s Humor | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Warrior | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heavenly Love | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Sienna | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arabella Bella | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bet She Wins | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Over Thinking | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Gale | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caroline the Great | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Neoclassic | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Highly Prized (GB) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Patrick’s Day | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Krewe Chief | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honovi | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Warrior | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Richmond Street | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St. Louie | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imposing Will | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Megeve | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Indeed | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Uncle Mitcho | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Tobias | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.