October 5, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | It’s The Ice (GB) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A New Trend | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hero Ten All | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Have Some Pride | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Ky. Colonel | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Airlite | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Curly’s Waterfront | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Billy Big (IRE) | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cleanup Hitter | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sahara Storm | 3.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | South Americain | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He Could | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Knight’s Dream (IRE) | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | This Town | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hydrostatic | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Utah Ute | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neighborhood Bully | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Can Too | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Psycho Dar | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bob’s All In | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get Em Up Scout | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Orejas | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gato Dolce | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taste’s Legend | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empire Ruler | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Supreme Giant | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Thunder | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Teamplayer | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Humid | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Grey | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sooner Boomer | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hill Croome | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rolls Royce Deal | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gigantis | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Street Fighter | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fly to Mars | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Law | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overcomer | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Family Code | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Getoffmyback | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Del Mar Ann | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Not too Shiny | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Macalla | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderful Lie | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fabulous Lady | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hawk’s Journey | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Livy (IRE) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Comealongwithme | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Held | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ryder’s Starlight | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Smiling Tigress | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Style | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Copper Cowgirl | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Helen’s Tiger | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Songofthedesert | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carrie’s Success | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lula | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Claw | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | X S Gold | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Outcome | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Torazo San | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | My Man Chuckles | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anatolian Heat | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourque | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Vargas | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | El Tovar | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Dreams of Valor | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready To Roc (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Trifecta | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Caribou Club | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Chrome | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cheekaboomboom | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swinging Star | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Incensed | 4.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Stone Hands | 12.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Downside Up | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Close to Midnight | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bob’s Bad Boy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rmanie’s Grey Suit | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Divulge | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Easy Game | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Reverend Al | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cosmotivo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Force Cadet | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Decarchy Dawn | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Trick | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | June and Johnny | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Drum Roll Please | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.