Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 5, 2017

October 5, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 High Believing 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Magic Five 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Shake D’ Bone 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Captain Alex 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 I Heart Junior 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Forged Signature 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Seventysevenwilow 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Ready to Serve 12.00 8 15-1
3 3 All Abouthe Salsa 10.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Romantic Affair 12.00 3 6-1 Scr
3 3 Sophie Sayz 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Carmina Burana 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Friends Talk 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 The Two Nancy’s 4.50 5 9-1 Scr
11 9 Sharp Lacey 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Pride Leader 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 6 Miss Cay O’Sea 6.00 8.5 16-1
9 7 Star in Dubai 8.00 8.5 16-1
10 8 Regal Treasure 20.00 9 17-1
12 10 Peggys Music Maker 8.00 10.3 19-1
5 5 My Little Princess 12.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1A 5 Dats Her 2.00 1 2-1
1 2 Terrificville 2.00 2 4-1
3 1 Royalty for Life 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Pennyfeather 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 9 Fashion Break 3.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Irish Paulina 12.00 6 11-1 Scr
7 8 Cobras Dragon Lady 15.00 7.8 15-1
2B 7 Alydarius 8.00 8 15-1
4 3 Daray 4.00 8.5 16-1
2 6 Tidy Stripe 8.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Ghost Train 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Dot Notation 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Stakes On a Plane 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Peaka Ballerina 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Libation 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Miss Impazible 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Queen Nekia 3.00 7 13-1
6 6 Carly Angel 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Gator Girl 10.00 8 15-1
10 10 Brazilian Princess 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Carupano 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Mountain Cry 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Flatter Me Big 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Metal Magic 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Hot Squad 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Speedy Mexican 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Tradfest 2.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Seat of Honor 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Union Blockade 10.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Birdsnest Party 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Promethean 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 New World 8.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
4 4 Finglas 2.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Telling You Twice 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Junonia 4.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 End of an Era 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Winter Melody S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Moonlight Basin 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Super Sharp 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Cayman Croc 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Enterprising Lady 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Analyze 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 In the Navy Now 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Saida 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Who’s the Lady 8.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 4 Good Save 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Plenty Elusive 15.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
6 3 Lucky Balladier 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Ghostly Games 20.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
10 7 Special Intention 12.00 5.5 10-1
14 14 Harv Won’t Tap 12.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
11 8 Immunity 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 5 Dream Doctor 8.00 8 15-1
9 6 Muggsamatic 4.50 8.8 17-1
3 3 Rocket Road 20.00 9.5 18-1 Scr
12 9 Ousby 6.00 10 19-1
13 10 Chocolateicecream 15.00 10.3 19-1
2 1 Odlum 5.00 10.5 20-1
4 2 Total Joint 4.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 KAO MALOAN SWA 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 CHNDAKASEXPRESS 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 MYSTICAL MHF 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 RB SAND CASTLE 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 LIL DUDE AA 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 THESS IS AWESOME 2.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 CANDY LAND MAN 8.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.