October 5, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Acorn Street | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Soldiers Pride | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matty’s Magnum | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latrevo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wealth Effect | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kickin Kimberly | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Danny’s Rush | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Filius Scat | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopper Dropper | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | O Captainmycaptain | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Big Auk | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dooley | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Frost Proof | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frozen Angel | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Pence | 1.60 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dublin Leprechaun | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiffany’s Vision | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hold On Momma | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Barbarian | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer of Joy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splash of Sass | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Milaya | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Over My Head | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clairvoyant Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sand Shark | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kissin Cassie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shesmyheartandsoul | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Regis | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Courtmewithcarats | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Verdant Pastures | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Style Drift | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kacy Lauren | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Amazing Anne | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Iron Mizz | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jcs American Dream | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Weather Girl | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Belle of the Spa | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Joan | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mecke’s Madalyn | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Missimpazi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tayler’s the Boss | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Hot Stones | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adorable Song | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Finlee | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Delightful | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Giant’s Vow | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turn and Bern | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s My Catiecat | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Kristofferson | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Deep Sea | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Delta Outlaw | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blaze’n Prospector | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camp Courage | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Toohottoevenspeak | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Take Cover | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | John Jones | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Undrafted | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angry Moon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blind Ambition | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Life in Shambles | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eighty Three | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Lion | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Massena | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Set Me Up | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rule Number One | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morning Daddy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run for Boston | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kierland | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heat Check | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wondermeister | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Artic Storm Cat | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Victory’s Cash | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Kitt | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.