October 4, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | D’ambrosio | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zap Zap Zap | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pendant | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Swayze | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Moon | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wake Island | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pounds to Pennies | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fashion Week | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Length | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Garden | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factoring | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Equalityforall | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carlino | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karma Delight | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Strikes | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Rider | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Going Strong | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Transaction Tax | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Foreign Affair | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passporttovictory | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anna Rae | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Image | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Cause | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strawberry Tequila | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Three Eighty Eight | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | B Three | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sly Ranger | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Veil Dance | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoponthebusgus | 4.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Say Cin Cin | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dream a Little | 6.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Boule | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Frost | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Got Out | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Parade | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spring for More | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Corey Q | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Impazible Woman | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Filly Madison | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kat O Mine | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itsthemoney | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Havana Affair | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Banks | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mazmania | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Madame Ambassador | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Youth Gone Wild | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Tiffany’s Vision | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Halcyon | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Love | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reconsider It | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prima Attrice | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Saturdaynightfling | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flick of an Eye | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arewehavingfunyet | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Josephine’s Moment | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kate Is a Ten | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marnesia Big Girl | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Maddizaskar | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Perina’s Pride | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Verdant Pastures | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Paz the Bourbon | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Driven by Speed | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moondance Joy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | First Appeal | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Eloweasel | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shimmering Moon | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Queen of Spades | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Bluegrass Jamboree | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Jcs American Dream | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Barrier to Entry | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Rockin Alli | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broken Border | 2.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bertranda | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | La Pena | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | More Than Treasure | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Renewal | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Divine Caroline | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Goldmakesmesmile | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Banner Wave | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddyisdooley | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Looking Good Carol (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Buy for Less | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Matinee Babe | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Love | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.