October 3, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Type |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
In the Script |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lust for Money |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
El Potro |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Gato Pimiento |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Honest |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bear Clause |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Elijah’s Party |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Pleasant Talk |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Viserion |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Strict |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Layla’s Voyage |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Worthwhile |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Java Chip |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Congarees Key |
5.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Last Melody |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Kristinite |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Simplylucky |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Love Is All |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Fancy Is My Name |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kiss Me Kenzie |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Vouch for Kitten |
1.20 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Miss Kalem |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Hasty Nic |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Sweetest Yet |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
My Music |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Gia Alexa |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Golden Earrings |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Boa Sorte |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Coupella |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Ima Wildcat |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Spartianos |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Agonistic |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Smart and Tough |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
7 |
What the Chub |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Derek’s Smile |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Springers Point |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Rocket Man Richie |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Padilla |
3.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Merry’s Honor |
6.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Ominous Thomas |
10.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Whispering Forest |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Scotland Bay |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Appealing Miss |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bayshore Drive |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Initforthelonghaul |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Harlans Belle |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Silver Majorette |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Quasante |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pinot Grigio |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Quick Release |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Zensational Merry |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Poppy’s Shadow |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Isabella Swift |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Natural Warrior |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hidden Pearl |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Just Talkin |
1.60 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
More Royalty |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Let’s Parlay |
1.40 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Sprawling |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Fundy’s Tide |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Graves Island |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Larco Mar |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Midtowncharlybrown |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Yeah Rocky |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cowboy Mz |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Southern Kisses |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Ledbetter |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
8A |
7 |
Unbridled Rocket |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
P J’s Bad Boy |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Chilham Court |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Country Money |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5A |
5 |
Venezuelan Success |
2.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Movie Night |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Guyana Express |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Champ Joey |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sassy Defender |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.