September 30, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cummings Road | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Azimut | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forester’s Destiny | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Storm | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dash of Dazzle | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Th Original Scotty | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cosmic Ruby | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | White Moon | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Court | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Delaste Dance | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Vision | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lake Manitou | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Callielikedherbrew | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bear On Fire | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Summit | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultraflame | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battleofburlington | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Light | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Fox | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Harkness | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Synthesize | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Opening Remark | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Leo From Heaven | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Snicker | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Napayshni | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Confidentiality | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Greenfield | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Split My Pants | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Stormy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Water Polo | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Anthony | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bay of Rum | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Timing | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stretch Dancer | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shot of Glory | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alacritous | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cat’s Whisper | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – La Lorgnette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Let It Ride Mom | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ghostly Presence | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Arch Enemy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crumlin Queen | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silhouette | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enthrall | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ellan Vannin | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lift Up | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Believe N Miracles | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Specialcnsydration | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speightstown Time | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Paw | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Figura | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Titanico | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Risk No Reward | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Durham Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Leavem in Malibu | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | U S Marshal | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Gizmo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Melmich | 0.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Narrow Escape | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Thunder Point | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pugsley | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Habemus Papam | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lions Bay | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reallylikethisone | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Brew | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moonlight Malice | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Storm Hawk | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wilshire Star | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unbridled Piper | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slam | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Joseph | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Martini Kid | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rocket Plan | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leopard Cat | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bangor Ridge | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hythe | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Breeze | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.