September 30, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Inscom | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impeachableoffense | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pubilius Syrus | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Treasure Hunter | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Primo Touch | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Anthem | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shane Zain | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Channel Crossing | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Martin Riggs | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dignitaire | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zippy Groom | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bitter Ring Home | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Upperclassman | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Dude | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Make It a Triple | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handful of Stripes | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Venture | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bolster | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hawks Peak | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mourinho | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Frenchmen Street | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Instilled Regard | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alternate Rhythm | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secular Nation | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Tizona | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Guinness | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peace | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kris’ Rocket Kat | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Asesino | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Ox | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Ruler | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Restrainedvengence | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Formal Dude | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Choo Choo | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Buzz | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Pali High | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pitching | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pointed | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rockaway (IRE) | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Onde Ah Mo | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fleetwood | 4.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | So Long Sailor | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landonese | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Purr Cat | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Zenyatta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Faithfully | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockport Babe | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Shenandoah Queen | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Paradise Woods | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Toast | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Lady | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Buckys Pick | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Troublewithatee | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sonneteer | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kencumin (FR) | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ritzy A. P. | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Prince | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Kat | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dangerfield | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Popyhowuspelcupcak | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Doughnut | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Offshore | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taki’s Choice | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Chandelier S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Just a Smidge | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonshine Memories | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alluring Star | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Piedi Bianchi | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Good | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Terra’s Angel | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Belle | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Diver | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Frontrunner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bolt d’Oro | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take the One O One | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solomini | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zatter | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Wedge | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Encumbered | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | City Plan | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Continental Divide | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ayacara (GB) | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rodeo Drive S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Avenge | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Goodyearforroses (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Heat | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goldy Espony (FR) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Amboseli | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Decked Out | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frenzified (GB) | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Responsibleforlove (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kiss Me Now (BRZ) | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Awesome Again S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Cupid | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Breaking Lucky | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mubtaahij (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dortmund | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Donworth | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Curlin Rules | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Storm | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win the Space | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Unzip Me S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Noted and Quoted | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm the Hill | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Little Jude | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Chocolate Coated | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Tapped | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kathy’s Song | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Queen Laila | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Isa Firecracker | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tillie’s Lily | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Spin Me a Kiss | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace Bay | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Southern Miss | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenda | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take A Deep Breath (GB) | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.