Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 30, 2017

September 30, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Survive 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Stay West 2.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
6 5 Miss Injustice 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Deserted 15.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Gina’s Honey 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Done and Dusted 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mercy 2.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Arch Legacy 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Maximum Edge 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Little Alana 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 C W Road 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Chessen 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Ten Silver Dollars 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Majestic Koa 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 3 Ben of the Bridge 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 4 Winter’s Gift 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 2 Sweet Soul Music 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 6 Hashtag Alex 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Japonski 2.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Grit’n’grind 6.00 5 9-1 Scr
2 1 Thirsty Donnerstag 4.50 6 11-1
1 1 Ruby Bleu 12.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Special City 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Bird of Prey 1.60 2.5 5-1
5 5 Mo Maddnes 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 All Even 4.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Tears and Roses 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Valiant Reason 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Office Secretary 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Enduring Erin 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Brazilian Symphony 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Postino’s Champion 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Kellyslittlesecret 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Red River Heidi 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Silver Silence 2.50 5.3 10-1
1A 2 Love That 2.50 5.8 11-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Raging Champion 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Helloitsme 2.50 2 4-1
7 6 Fifty Eight O G 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Retrograde 2.00 4 8-1
6 5 Bluegrass Luck 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Discreetly Placed 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Unbridled Gift 12.00 7 13-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Chubble Maker 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Mine the Store 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Yakov 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 Midnight Games 6.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
9 7 Siena Indian 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Portent 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lon’s True Passion 5.00 6 11-1 Scr
4 4 Beau Jangles 15.00 8 15-1
7 5 Seve 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Flatter Me Zanja 2.50 1.3 2-1 Scr
7 5 Advert 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 3 Pazzaluna 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Extrasexyexotkminx 10.00 5 9-1 Scr
9 9 Whogoosedthemoose 8.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
3 2 Untouchable U 3.00 6 11-1
6 4 Sassy Little Cat 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Cool 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Diamond Play 6.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Vivid Image 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Chipit 3.00 4 8-1
8 6 Roosevelt Lane 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 He’s From Queens 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Return of a Giant 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Dark Moon 20.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
2 2 My Cotton Jones 8.00 7 13-1
9 7 Bestbandever 15.00 7.3 14-1
12 10 Arctic Schiller 4.00 8.8 17-1
10 8 Refuseing 15.00 9 17-1
11 9 True to His Word 10.00 9 17-1
6 6 Moneyman 20.00 11.5 22-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.