September 30, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Survive |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Stay West |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Miss Injustice |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Deserted |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Gina’s Honey |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Done and Dusted |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mercy |
2.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Arch Legacy |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Maximum Edge |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Little Alana |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
C W Road |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Chessen |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ten Silver Dollars |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Majestic Koa |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Ben of the Bridge |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Winter’s Gift |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Sweet Soul Music |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Hashtag Alex |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Japonski |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Grit’n’grind |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Thirsty Donnerstag |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ruby Bleu |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Special City |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bird of Prey |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Mo Maddnes |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
All Even |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Tears and Roses |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Valiant Reason |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Office Secretary |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Enduring Erin |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Brazilian Symphony |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Postino’s Champion |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Kellyslittlesecret |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Red River Heidi |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Silver Silence |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1A |
2 |
Love That |
2.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Raging Champion |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Helloitsme |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fifty Eight O G |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Retrograde |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Bluegrass Luck |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Discreetly Placed |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Unbridled Gift |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Chubble Maker |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mine the Store |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Yakov |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Midnight Games |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Siena Indian |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Portent |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lon’s True Passion |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Beau Jangles |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Seve |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Flatter Me Zanja |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Advert |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Pazzaluna |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Extrasexyexotkminx |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Whogoosedthemoose |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Untouchable U |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Sassy Little Cat |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Cool |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Diamond Play |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Vivid Image |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Chipit |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Roosevelt Lane |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
He’s From Queens |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Return of a Giant |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Dark Moon |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
My Cotton Jones |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Bestbandever |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Arctic Schiller |
4.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Refuseing |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
True to His Word |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Moneyman |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.