September 30, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Holiday Magician | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Revolving Storm | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Chief Inca | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Miss Waterbug | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forres Lily | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Southern Christmas | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leonia | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Rodeo | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magnificentmindset | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Nonno | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Josey Wales | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Union | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blyde River | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight With Luti | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Muchacho Dude | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tap the Pistol | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kinder | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beneficial Risk | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chibbley | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More to Adore | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Jamie Go | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Racinginthestreet | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodnight Moon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jokers Queen | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spanker | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Mirren | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Dtha Governors Day H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Fellowship | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Afleet Willy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All Out of Aces | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Marengo Road | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twocubanbrothersu | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Langdarma | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tale of Life (JPN) | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Blarney | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Warrioroftheroses | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ortiga (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | My Tootsy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bella Vincenza | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shack Up | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pamzine | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shoyoya | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Cincy Belle | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Queen of the Party | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bete Noir | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anonymous | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – First State Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Prince Lucky | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fenton’s Four | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jamaican Don | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Threes Over Deuces | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Taxable Goods | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Flashy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Gilgimesh | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Speightshill | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ring Necked | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Max Crown | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enough Is Enough | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wendy Wend | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Battle Midway | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hiram | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Takethattothebank | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – George Rosenberger Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Nawlins Kitty | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Talkless Smilemore | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Enchanteresse (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cayman Croc | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Arraign | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boreale | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Analyze | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Bishop’s Pond | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 8 | Laur Net | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nickyrocksforpops | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lift Up | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Good Roll | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wowwhatabrat | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Small Wonder S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Sweet Tweet | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Obvious Two | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Monkey Mind | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Pikachu Princess | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Enchanted Star | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sally’s Wolf | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Malandrina | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | High Sierra | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Queen Nekia | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Misdriven | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buff’s in Love | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | All Good Times | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tax Free Shopping Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 8 | Lucky in Malibu | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sharon Gunther | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hailey’s Flip | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fillupcohensapiker | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Hen Madness | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Moon Virginia | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Dollar | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Lakota | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Camille Claudel | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sunshine Included | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mineralistic | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Big Momma | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – New Castle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dixie’s Last Laugh | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Winplaceorshowono | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stolen Love | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Obvious One | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Final Prospect | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flying Alex | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Love Rules | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Delaware Park Arabian Juvenile Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | RB KINKIE BOOTS | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | RB HOT DATE | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | UPTOWN SANDY GIRL | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | CAPTAIN BUSH | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | UPTOWN FLYING FLYNN | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | BIG CORK | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | HIGHH SHINE | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | PRINCE WILLIAM AA | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.