September 29, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Amazon Cry |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Odyssey Explorer |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Kinematico |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Warren’s Fandango |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Brilliant Light |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Sirari |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Insubordination |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Bacoli |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Perfection Tale |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Kinsale Warrior |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Image of Joplin |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Saint Dermot |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Over Achiever |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Freddies Dream |
1.60 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Seal Six |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Rough Passage |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Golden Atlantic |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Heir of Storm |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
G. A. Betting |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Airfoil |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Royal F J |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Changing Karma |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Conqueror |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Super Duper Cooper |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Latitude |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Divisor |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Inhibition |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Fregosi |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
John and Montan |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Salsa King |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
American Currency |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Haulin’ Freight |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ridgefield Rocket |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Sandbed |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Warrior’s Lullaby |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Quoting Hawk |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Colormemoney |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
First Ballot |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Gentrified |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tell Me a Story |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Red Carpet Cat |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
One I’m Running To |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pick One |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cupid’s Beau |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mystical Image |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Iron Alex |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Ok Doll |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Salsita |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lindeza |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mrs. Norris |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Bombilate |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lucy De |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Arethusa (GB) |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Khaleesi (BRZ) |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Hacktivism |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Domestic Vintage |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Major Cabbie |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Xten |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Gran Fiesta |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Jungle Warfare |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Unlawful Act |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Canadian Game |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Extrordinary Jerry |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Holy Ghost |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Blended Citizen |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Eddie D S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Guns Loaded |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Forever Juanito |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Krsto Skye |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Coastline |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tribalist |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Zarqa Star |
50.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
California Diamond |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Rocket Heat |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Om |
1.60 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Mr. Roary |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Prize Exhibit (GB) |
10.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.