September 29, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bungalow | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Pal Jerry | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Silver | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Imitation | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Last Lightning | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Big Ralph | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Huracan | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justifiable Junior | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Intern | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barin | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wintry | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Break the Mold | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aim Straight | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Humbolt Street | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rodon | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raven Rush | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Iron Bank | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Chaparral | 1.40 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Lucifer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Hassah (GB) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Miz | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Intractable | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meddybemps | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shifra Magician | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Participate | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Spicy Girl Red | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zouzou | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Follow the Petals | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shinkansen | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Boomerang Miss | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Spot On Fark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2X | 13 | Victor Newman | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pocket High | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Fort Carroll | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miss My People | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Swamp Chilli | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Argento | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Slim | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Major Promise | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Cannon’s Roar | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Creepy the Crab | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Toe Tapper | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Storm Temple Pilot | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Officer Buns | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Bayshore Drive | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Sur Empire (GB) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Little Lies | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aussie Prayer | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sippy Cup | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Exchanging Secrets | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | No More Excuses | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hug a Tree | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | I Dream of Lois | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 9 | Loya | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jersey Life | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Sarah’s Whisper | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Honey Fireball | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Ferdinanda | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Rubys Fire | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In Jail | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starvista | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Superstar Diva | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Count On Chloe | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Almond Roca | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flax Flower | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gibbet | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Reba’s Right | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Dendrobia | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brushing | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Given Achance | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Courageous Bella | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Shakin’ That Sugar | 20.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smooth B | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Funds | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Willy Go | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Jacket | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Warning | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broad Expanse | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chinquapin | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joseph | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fear | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | My Enigma | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Not a Chance | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Frisky Magician | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Call First | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Jrock | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Oak Bluffs | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Grandiflora | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Our Independence | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daily News | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gallery | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. October | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jarvis Steel | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dare to Be | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daylight Ahead | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kelsocait | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just too Much | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play Unified | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sycee | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Sister Caro | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Giddy Up | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Heat | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Unusual Fleet | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Flyingtobechilders | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Goodbyeseeulater | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | My Vet’s a Genius | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kitty Fredo | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Storm Net | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Winter Springs (FR) | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Master Jordan | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ghostly Games | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Drive | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Annawon | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Tens Wild | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Outofthedepths | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Therestishistory | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buzzworthy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.