September 29, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caniform | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swift One | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Hitter | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ethan Hunt | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noneedtoflatterme | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fortuitous Path | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abdaar | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Gosilently | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Summer Mischief | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St. Patrick Frost | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Discretionary Marq | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Givetheman a Cigar | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zonic | 1.20 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Grand Valour | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pocket Player | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Slewacandy | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Space Key | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Causeway Cutie | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Making Havoc | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palladian Bridge | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Renegade | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jemmabelle | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Even Bette | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Over My Head | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Silver Shaker | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Misericordia (GB) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naples Parade | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Cast | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Mama | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ormolu Lu | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Windjammer (GER) | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Curls | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cursor | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run and Go | 0.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Inheritance | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Appealing Maggie | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arella Rockstar | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Macho | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | D’yer Mak’er | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Macho Miah | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Tbone | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gehrig | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Peak Performance | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speightful Kitten | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Tommy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Psychic Energy | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outrageous Bet | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Baseline | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Karma Delight | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Son of Oahu | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Hy Brasil | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Passport to Chaos | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Carbon Data | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lead by Example | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | There Goes Ben | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | River Knight | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tathqeef | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roman Approval | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chiropractor | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soluble (GER) | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Sea (FR) | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marshall Eddy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dream Passage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | Mo Style | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Piquet | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | La Moneda | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gypsy Jo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Way Smart | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Got the Gist | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Tiz R Bella | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bayshore Beauty | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smart and Sassy | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Danielle’s Pride | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holyholyholy | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hardly Mate | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tulips Galore | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.