September 28, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Murrell’s Belle | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pico Chick | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Might Be | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Belle | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honor Way | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tarquinia | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Short Kakes | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hit the Diamond | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Factorial | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Distorted Admiral | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sethary | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Le Pin (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charnley River (AUS) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Check This Out | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harkness | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cozzy Spring | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Gesture | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Layla | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luz Mimi | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Liesl | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Devine Union | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conspiring | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tanzania Road | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Muscade | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Tapella | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | My Time | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Bogulator | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ready for Summer | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Vicki’s Dancer | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lamontagne | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Sunnysammi | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Billyscrystalball | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | True Charm | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Awesome Quick | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nisha | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Objective Complete | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Something Joyful | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Burkey’s Babe | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spa Treatment | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Unspoken Mission | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Sugarille | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | She’s Cookin | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Andretta | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Louisiana Lady | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Amanda Lane | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toni the Tigress | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Elegant Jem | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Silver Dagger | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Dunk a Din | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Orino | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Lewis Vale | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | McIlroy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Damage Control | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1X | 8 | Indebted | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Romans Paradise | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Husband’s Folly | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Girl Talk | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tejana | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Going for Broke | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rachel’s Temper | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smile Big | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Literata | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jules N Rome | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Rocks | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fortunate Queen | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Paula’s Pistol | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nauti Belle | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ouro Verde | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yabba | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Seam | 1.40 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Special Risk | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stars Wilburn | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Loose | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Christmas Sky | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.