September 27, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Cello | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Jo | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dogtown | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Twister | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paid Admission | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giant Rocks | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Filius Scat | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dab | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Ready Freddie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Miss My Father | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Starry Messenger | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nut Nut | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pom Freight | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Novique | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Constance | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andesine | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Isotope | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Decorator Jenn | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Asian’s Way | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Navajo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sweet Offer | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fools Gold | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twofer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Data Dependent | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Really Proud | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fingerpaint | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coffee Crush | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lemoona | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fairy Link | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Platinum | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Up | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Mango M | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Unbridled Charge | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | We Should Talk | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Audible | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Thicket | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Huntsman | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Al’s Nightmare | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spa Jazz | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flat Out Jayvien | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Crimson Frost | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scattered Thoughts (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dovecote | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Ruby | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Church Social | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violet Blue | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Homeland Security | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quant | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Seafire (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Abiding Star | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | River Date | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Orino | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shuffle Up | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Souperfast | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | King of New York | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Turco Bravo (CHI) | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Shalako | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Slim Shadey (GB) | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | For Greater Glory | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sandy’z Slew | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | D’funnything | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Animal Posse | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D’ Eloquent | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dr. Shane | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Excluded | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Banana Thief | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | The Crocheron Kid | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whatstotalkabout | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Manoffire | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gosilently | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Catch a Cab | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | J J’s Dreaming | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Trophy Asset | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Appealing Briefs | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Constant Knight | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heart in Hand | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Millies Party Boy | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Prince Reigner | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.