September 24, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Guy Code |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cowtownmary |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Runbrorun |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Stoneys Mr Cruiser |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Johns Journey |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
We Own the Night |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sweetwater Gal |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
High Drama |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Turing Machine |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sea My Moves |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Baytown Juliet |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sunriser |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Instinctual Kash |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Sally Simpson |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Todos Santos |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Amy Jean |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Warrenscrystalized |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tiz Clever as Ever |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Gypsy Ju Ju |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Candy Crew |
1.80 |
0.6 |
1-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Midcourt |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Big and Loud |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Midnight Soot |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Super Classic |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Street Zombie |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Nova |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bless the Cause |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Big Bad Gary |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Handsome Swede |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Luke’s On Fire |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Downhill Run |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Agressivebrawler |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Anuska Thunder |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Sixes |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Clifton Beach |
2.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Super Storm |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Hoppitty |
3.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Joshuas Glory |
30.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Secretary General |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mister Fancy Bean |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Royal Seeker |
4.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Here Comes Autism |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Dream Police |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Our Nation |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Real Big Deal |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Jensen |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Cammy’s Music |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Picture Tube |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mizter Kool Cat |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Giro Candito |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Lucky J Lane |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Avanti Bello |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ike Walker |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Giant Influence |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mighty Mo |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Infobedad (ARG) |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Of Note |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Miss Napper Tandy |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Oh Scatty Oh |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Amaranta |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Curlina Curlina |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Wicked Old Fashion |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Dadlani |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Colonel Peggy Sue |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Pretty Expensive |
5.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Riverka |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.