September 24, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Cara’s Nay Nay | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lenape Rim | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | E Lizzy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Spring Mtn Mist | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sur Empire (GB) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peace Prize (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Participate | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Avary | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Move Over Honey | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Say the Word | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Monongah | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kodachi | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Survey (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Brothersledge | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quail Hunt | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | French’s Quest | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Archaggelos | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizcreetly | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redeemed Gentleman | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Home It Tiz | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Promontory | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zapata | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Cover | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rarified Air | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Nico’s On the Run | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 5 | Catcher | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Patti’s Pirate | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Iron Bank | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | One Step Closer | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Smarty Smart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blame Henny | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Draconic Treasure | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dancingwithpaynter | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Anna Strong | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Miss Jackie G | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Leighla | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Hard Rockin Blues | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Lady of the Empire | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 3 | Lulu’s On the Move | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Hopkins Choice | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bigboldbok | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Jarvis | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Diamond Drive | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Put Em Up | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 10 | Gotham Boy | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Major Anthem | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Offshore Trip | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jakesoutcaster | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Miss My People | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Whynotwyatt | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Quickhatch | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crossing the Blues | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Derecho | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Last Train Out | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lambourn | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Wrightwood | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hibernia Fire | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bull Ensign | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sir Luca Richard | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sebray | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Soul Prince | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Some Promises | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Three Beans | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Notjudginjustsayin | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Colors | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Has Rhythm | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Royal Hussar | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Broad Reach | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sugar Train | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Paratycachaca | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wise Men | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lacrostix | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tarnished Image | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Storm Temple Pilot | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Ortiga (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Flirtin N Flashin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zippity Gal | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eye On Berlin | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Seaside Schiller | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Uknowfriends | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Baltimore Street | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Next Street | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Victory’s Secret | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Lost Sonnet | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | No Great Shakes | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kadie’shorseplay | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pea Patch Point | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sasana (GB) | 12.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly and Flutter | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stadium | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Barbecue | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Braid | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alarming | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Crusader | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greek Prince | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stay Home | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valhalla | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crimson Secret | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flight Crew | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heiko | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Team Tim | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Matador | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Man | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Zip | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here’s to Mike | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boca Scuttlebutt | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frasero (ARG) | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daniel Le Deux | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Love for Scarlett | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Victory Rally | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holiday Hopes | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ladyofthehierarchy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Thirsty Madam | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Love’s Legend | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love in Excess | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyler’s Lil Cutie | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Goldmakesmesmile | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Craic | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hot Friesia | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.