September 24, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forge | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northern | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scarf It Down | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Bear’s Soup | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Set the Trappe | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Driven by Thunder | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Going Strong | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cinderela El Crome | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Ashley T. Cole S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Get Jets | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kharafa | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Call Provision | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | All Is Number | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pat On the Back | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Becker’s Galaxy | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Cloontia | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Just Hattie | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Everybody Loves Me | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | My Bronx Tail | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | D’Argent de Miel | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Lady Blessings | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Zipper | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Mrs. Ramona G. | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Quaff | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bee Balm | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Special Trip | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Moviemaker | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Money Purse | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hot Cash | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fairy Link | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Peace Speaker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Not in Charge | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Im the Captain Now | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captain Hardship | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spring On Curlin | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Promise | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sentry | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Repetitious | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Gio | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quintus Augustus | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Last Shani | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Florentine Kitten | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Gallant Bloom H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Highway Star | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carina Mia | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Absatootly | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Friend of Liberty | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucy N Ethel | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quezon | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Free N Clear | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Table for Six | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lem Me Dance | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Roman Reign | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Electrified | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Puparee | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pinchbeck | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Khaleesi Kat | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Photographer | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Each Way | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kitty Maddnes | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Remembered | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Castle | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool as You Like | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Unbridledadventure | 3.50 | 13.1 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Light Reign | 50.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | We Did | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cause for Surprise | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saltine Warrior | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Zealous | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Prevails | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pegasus Red | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proper Freud | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sol the Freud | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Heater | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lyrical Miracle | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – John Hettinger S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Summersault | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fourstar Crook | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ack Naughty | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Barrel of Dreams | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Feeling Bossy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flipcup | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bonita Springs | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bonita Bianca | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Literata | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tizzelle | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Barbarossa | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Throw the Deuce | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Golden Seal | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Iron Johnny | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | News Anchor | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sandlot Star | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City of Dreams | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnetron | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fun Prospect | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Just Bustin | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Perfectexpectation | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbonfuhrme | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nate Can’t Wait | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Conforto | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | English Channical | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Justin | 15.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.