September 23, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1A |
7 |
Jumpmaster |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Navy Commander |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Generous Spirit |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Cardcounter |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Our Lunatic |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Offender |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
5 |
Joiner |
3.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Team Ribot |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Pat and Ron |
3.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Every Step |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
4 |
Dreaming of Neno |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1A |
5 |
Bluegrass Luck |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Rockin Cowboy |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
He’s Cotton |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Griff |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Doddsprivatelabel |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
El Grande Rojo |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Runaway Mistress |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Bajan Summer |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Double the Cheers |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Malibu High |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1A |
10 |
Diamond King |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
5 |
Known But to God |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Spectacular Plum |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Tomater Gator |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Ceevee |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
A Different Style |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Seven Gems |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Currency Wave |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Mind Bottling |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Heartfullofstars |
10.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Charming Bobby |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Dig That Mine |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Rosie P |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Toby Girl |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Silver Threads |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Miss Avalon |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Checkbouncin Billy |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Letthemooseloose |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Filibustin |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
4 |
Hidden Mystery |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Fairybrook |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Heatherly |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Prince of Hempt |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
People’s Champ |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Tale of Mist |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Jerandson |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Thomas Knight |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Hit It Once More |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Confederate |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Burntwood |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Haul Anchor |
2.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
J. J.’s Candy |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Monaco |
6.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Unto Thou |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Flashy Kyem |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Basha |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Thurman Merman |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Fast Friar |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Rolin With Olin |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Storming My Way |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Going Abroad |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Sonoma Crush |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Its All Relevant |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Top Brass |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Nfusion |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Tairneach |
15.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Alphabet Soup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Bern’ James Bern |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Tasit |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Uncle Dave |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Edge of Reality |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Red Razzo |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Cape Cod Tide |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Firsthand Report |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Trilogy |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
11 |
8 |
Chateau de Vizille |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Tactical Plan |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Threeohtwocassie |
3.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
10 |
7 |
Late Breaking News |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pa Derby Champion S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Mr. Jordan |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Discreet Lover |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ike Walker |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Matt King Coal |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Sea Raven |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Donegal Moon |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Just Call Kenny |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Grasshoppin |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Page McKenney |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gallant Bob S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
2 |
Petrov |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
American Pastime |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Running Mate |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Ann Arbor Eddie |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Excitations |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
9 |
Aquamarine |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1A |
6 |
Coal Front |
2.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Action Everyday |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
7 |
Sonic Mule |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
10 |
Glory Stars |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Cotillion S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
10 |
Abel Tasman |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
10 |
11 |
Salty |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
It Tiz Well |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Sine Wave |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Proud and Fearless |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Lockdown |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1X |
9 |
Run and Go |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Actress |
5.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
9 |
Teresa Z |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Mopotism |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
1A |
7 |
Stay Fond |
12.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
1 |
6 |
Thirstforthecup |
12.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Pennsylvania Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
West Coast |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Timeline |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Irish War Cry |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Irap |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Term of Art |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Talk Logistics |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Giuseppe the Great |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Watch Me Whip |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Game Over |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Outplay |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Rude |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Tazkeya |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Legend of Lorelei |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Extrasexyexotkminx |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Whogoosedthemoose |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Indian Paint |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Expressly |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Untouchable U |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Felini |
3.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Behrnik’s Bank |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Bay Rum |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Garden Games |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Irish Colonel |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Brother Chub |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Love That Jazz |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
I Am the Man |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Pop Keenan |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mr. Brix |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Ebo Strong |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Cowboy Mz |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Drosselmagic |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Curious Cal |
3.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Court Note |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Staynsidethecircle |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.