September 23, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Hit the Seam |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Blackhawk Beauty |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Uh Oh Baby |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Campaigner |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Buck Duane |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Flash Henry |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Tibbens Secret |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cal Cal Li Gowchis |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Gummy |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Salient |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Sir Porfirio |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Bucky Goldstein |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Colonial Power |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
The Union Forever |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Washington Road |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Spend It |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bow and Arrow |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pipedreams |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Traveling Vista |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Golden Atlantic |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Luckarack |
1.80 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Four Gaels |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Changing Karma |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Badasmywifeletsmeb |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Madelyn’s Wild Max |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bound for Heaven |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Lucky With You |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hard Arch |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Harrovian |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Majestic Journey |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Fall Harvest |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Second Gear |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Colonel Gotham |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Alley Boss |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sidepocket Champ |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Aglimpseofgabby |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pray Hard |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Norman Jorgenson |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Nagys Piggy Bank |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mr. Araiza |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Tap On a Star |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Queen Bee to You |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Majestic Diva |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bridal Arch |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Demigoddess |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Carrie |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Royal Astronomer |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Barretts Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Run Away |
0.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Crazy Uncle Rick |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Smokem |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Thegloryisallmine |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Here Is Happy |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Time for Cioppino |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Southern Warlord |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Sausalito Sunset |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Magical Lucy |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Miss Fireball |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Slightly |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Family Rules |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
My Project Girl |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Forthe Lovof Patty |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ghost Lady |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
E Z Miss |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.