September 23, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | In the Mood | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dream Fever | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glow Goddess | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Toni Rox | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | City of the Dead | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Discomania | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Reyana Reya Delite | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Fahan Mura | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Warranty | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jonquil | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | City Section | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridledadventure | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Vasilika | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queenofthechannel | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Silver Magnolia | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Madame Uno | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Noble Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Time and Motion | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Off Limits (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Stacy | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celestine | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Little Lila | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guick | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Curtis | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mollica | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bar None | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conquest Expresso | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Orphan Miracle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tommy T | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Switzerland | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Curlout | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eight Town | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Commandeering | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | News Alert | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Via Castagna | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pop the Hood | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Asset | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Delta Outlaw | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Rate for Me | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Somekindofmagician | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Runaway Posse | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Spectrolite | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rappel | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whiskey Seven | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curious Cal | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 8 | Portando | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lord of Love | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Robin Hood | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sand Dancer | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Congruity | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Munnys | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Infield Is In | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Chest | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Up the Ante | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Blue Lute | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 12 | Mathematician | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Power Boss | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Cullum Road | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wake Me Up At Noon | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Thunder Mesa | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dyna Buck | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | E J’s Revenge | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Kabang | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Aquaphobia | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Convivial | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Memories of Peter | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Liquid Aloha | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gauguin (GER) | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Battle Midway | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Azar | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hy Brasil | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Focus Group | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rapt | 5.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King of Spades | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Emperor | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Kelso H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Azteca | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ross (IRE) | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divining Rod | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bird Song | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tom’s Ready | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tommy Macho | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Smokin Platinum | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Scoopsie Patato | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Setter | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Nolinski | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Zigmund | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Party | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lutheran Rags | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Old Boy | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Causforcelebration | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Brockmoninoff | 3.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Leap to Glory | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Sim Card | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fritter | 12.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Heroism | 12.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.