September 22, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Wildcat Kaos |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Frankie Machine |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mugaritz |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Builder |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Canadian Warrior |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dare to Enter |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Halo Girl |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Kleptocracy |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Miss Kitaen |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cuvee Cat |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wicked Sunset |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Gamezapper |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Preacher Roe |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Sense of Glory |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Donji |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Lazzam (GB) |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Ghost of War |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Tribal Roar |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Vibe |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Millie Joel |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Angelina’s Heaven |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Miss Pretty |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Molly Got Even |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
We Will Re Joyce |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Novafactum |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Daylight Charger |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Clever Cause |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Jonny Be Bueno |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Arno’s Mane Man |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Italiano |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Colonel Cash |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Liberal Lunacy |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Kershaw |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Good Guy Bad Guy |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Willing to Travel |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ps Bettin On You |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Iancol |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Broadway Nika |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Do Some Magic |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Antinanco |
5.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Papa Royale |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Alpha Uno |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
David R. |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Big Energy |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
St. Reno |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Upper Mesa Falls |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
C J Terror |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Prince Charmant |
2.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Seatoshiningsea |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Stretch |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Badasmywifeletsmeb |
0.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Brave Julian |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Sassy Rose |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ruled by Girls |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Team Astrology |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Gypsy Treasure |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Valedictoriette |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Sonnet’s Joy |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
Misty Moni |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
That Touch of Gold |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Spender |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Scott for Her |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Skatinindyeclipse |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dynadurbin |
30.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.