September 22, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Sam Sparkle |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Dukin’ With Dale |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Hurler |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Industry Leader |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
King’s House |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Ring Collector |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mr. Spaceman |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Legend Keeper |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Raise the Mast |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Turbo Booster |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
One Proud Wildcat |
1.40 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Fifties Music |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Lemme See |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Alwaysgotthehammer |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hail the General |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Lights On |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Prevailing Party |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Hallie Belle |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Misericordia (GB) |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Lemon Drop Kitty |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Karma |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Stolen Overture |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Star Crush |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Stated |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Sarah’s Treasure |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Danu (IRE) |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Harbor Breeze |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Atascaderan |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Put It Forward |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Seventy Niner |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Banner Bill |
4.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Here’s Johnny |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Turbin |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Blame Me |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Cross Roads |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Chobee Girl |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Crags |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Scene of the Crime |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Nina’s Patience |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Petticoatsnpistols |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Five Smooth Stones |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Marysienka |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Out of Juice |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Enchanted Evening |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Flint Hill |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kitty Bank |
15.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sommer Something |
0.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ask Me I Might |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Her Case of Gold |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Chamberlin Road |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Fleur de Force |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Heaven’s Door |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Postino’s Secret |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Tightly Bridled |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Jo Way Java |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Heavenly Haze |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Skippin to Victory |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Sunrise Sunset |
3.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Mr J |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Mist On the Moskva |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Versed |
2.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Full Quest |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Irish Handcuffs |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Patti’s Pirate |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Chilly Magician |
5.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Gator Boy |
10.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Determined Nation |
20.00 |
12.4 |
23-1 |
|
14 |
11 |
It’s Bull Bat Time |
30.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Princetonian |
20.00 |
13.6 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Caladonia |
20.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
9A |
9 |
Top Hat Tango |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Congrats Graduate |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Cherokee Jam |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8A |
8 |
Top Hat Tizzy |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
8 |
Return to Vegas |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Wishinguwell |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Infinite Oz |
2.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Purring Valentine |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Grecian Dancer |
4.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Unaquoi |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lady Allegra (IRE) |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Grace Is Ready |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Wantagh Queen |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bubbly |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lady Keswick |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Misty On Pointe |
2.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Candycoated Dame |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Faith ‘n Works |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
She Rolls |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Have Hope |
12.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Anna’s Bandit |
1.20 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Sazerac Girl |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Truly Hot |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
She Be Fierce |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Clem Gem |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Letmeslidebyyou |
20.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Larrikin |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
All Spun Up |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Conquest Falcon |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cape Apache |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Participation Cup |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Cullasaja King |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Red Clay Road |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Huracan |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Godlovesasinner |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Wigwam Summer |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Chant David Chant |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Holiday Prayer |
20.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Battle of Dunkirk |
15.00 |
12.4 |
23-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.