September 22, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fastlanefrontman | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shamrocked | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Archival | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elite Kid | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Going | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shoot the Gap | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | There They Go | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Mike | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tizno | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | R Lucky Charm | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Avery Maeve | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Murrell’s Belle | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Wildcat Belle | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | May Flowers | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tarquinia | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Same Kinda Crazy | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Might Be | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Mojo’s Queen | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Mom’s a Cougar | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fear No Evil | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Bertram F. Bongard S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Battle Station | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | What a Catch | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inalienable Rights | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alien Invasion | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimateenticement | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Purely Lucky | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Single Mission | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Carrera Cat | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 15A | 15 | Cathy Naz | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Expense | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Scatback | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Northernstreetgal | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mammie’s Treasure | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Jody’s Song | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Very Charming | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12A | 12 | Tizengaginglysmart | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sardonyx | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Giant Zinger | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Reyana Reya Delite | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dynamic War | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Feed Me Carats | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spring for More | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Rimanisempreforte | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Questeq | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Very Fashionable | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cha Cha Heels | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courtly Kitty | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Woundwithhereyes | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Emiliana’s Hope | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tizanillusion | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harkness | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy’s Song | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beat the Benchmark | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Battlement (GB) | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Time (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Great Import | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Charmer | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Dose | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ellery Lane (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knarsdale | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aspen Hilltop | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rectify | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Lute | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sudden Surprise | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | West Hills Giant | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samadi Sky | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | So Noted | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Giantinthemoonlite | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proper Freud | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Jet Black | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jewel Can Disco | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Buff | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Portmagee | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fusaichi Red | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Ancient Secret | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stormy Victoria (FR) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | All in Fun | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Miss Hollywood | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Appealing Maggie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Discreet Senorita | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Out of Nowhere | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | The Two Nancy’s | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Jacqueline D | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Passing Reminder | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Smart Throb | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 11 | Princess Mikayah | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharp Lacey | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | New Canaan | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Rockette | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Freckle de Freck | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cetara | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Live That Fantasy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Ava Rae | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Icy Girl | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Frostyjchardonay | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.