September 21, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Pegasus | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Sleepy Prince | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skagit River | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fabrication | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Black | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Prophecy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Union Flyer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wow Its Hot | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chin Tu | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Crushed It | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ya Gotta Wanna | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chrisiscookin | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderoveryonder | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ryderroo | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smil’n From Above | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Mambo | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’sluckythatway | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Part of My Heart | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Top Fleet | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | What’s Inside | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Factor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Irrelevant | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nehemiah | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Fullerton | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Getin Gready | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Papa Ted | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Thirty Five | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Rebel | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twisted Candy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Wonderful | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectacular One | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rick’s Dream | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hill Croome | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Poco Suenos | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Maggie | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justabean | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fernet Me Not | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rossmoor Way | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cee Sam’s Girl | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Indignationtyme | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Lindante | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lymebyrd | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Ability | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Senator Robert | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Old Man Lake | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Storm Comin Thru | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Plain Wrap | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lion’s Luck | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bad Batman | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gone With It | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Warren’s Cole | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenji’s Savior | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arthur’s Honor | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Julia’s Summer | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Land of the Free | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Bachi | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.