September 21, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Serket | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Baby Bella | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Leaving Dixie | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riomar | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smartfromthegitgo | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gone to Dixie | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shes Got the Luck | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charlottes Dream | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tazmanian Angel | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Traffic Express | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Knockout Ranger | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hy Dandy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Warrior | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Off the Chain | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Put the Boss Back | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Rocket | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Beneficiary | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Gold | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Piloting | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Adios Nardo | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Two Step Time | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Cowboy | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charlie Mops | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tutti Sanno | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Joshua’s Comprise | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warren’s Joe T. | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonshine Martini | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Dragon | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Tito | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jaiden’s Best | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Hundreds | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | L. A. House | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Estelle’s in Town | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Something Jak | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Tomcat | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sheplayswithfire | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winnie | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Telling Me Softly | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Pie O’My | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nonsuch | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Plea Bargain | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’mawreckingball | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Xom Wiil | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scotuscare | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always a Dreamer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Falconer | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toss | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Walterjeep | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mexican Lucky | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barroombouncer | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzentown | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Cristian Go | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cantaclaro | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | German Alberto | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dublin Tinker | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Return | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hail to Victory | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night Rythm | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Switched | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Manolete | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dude’s Septor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Eye of the Lion | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamy Martini | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quenane | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cookies Are Good | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Lunch Break | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hangry | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Money Factor | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samurai’sfirstlady | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Patriot Storm | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winsanity | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Mauras Forever | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reina La Kelsy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Jill | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Decant | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gods Greatness | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Policy Portfolio | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Matt | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Father Love | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shot Jak | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sailer’s Companion | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Grubered | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ready With Honor | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Igo Forgreatness | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Little Leo | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whooo Here We Go | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tamper | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | City Roc | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.