September 21, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – William Entenmann Memorial Hurdle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moscato (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mutasaawy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Wunder (GB) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zio Elio | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lachares (IRE) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Surprising Soul | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kensington Court | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | New Member (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Lonesome Glory H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Modem (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hinterland (FR) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All the Way Jose | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swansea Mile (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Hot Stuff | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charminster (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simenon (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casino Markets (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Reata’s Reward | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gata’s Applause | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Viradia | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 3 | Nanny Rocks | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Roxy Girl | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lindsay’s Treasure | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Super Stone | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Luciana Rose | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stone Cold Flirt | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Beautiful Chaos | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pirellone | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nonna’s Boy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Buzz | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Motown Sound | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Heat | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Lotto | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Try Flying | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Jahaafel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Now in a Drive | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Untraceable | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Go Big Or Go Home | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mr Chaplin | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kulin Rock | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nezet | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Classic Covey | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pawn It Back | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Strong Side | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cerro (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lex Vegas | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scarly Charly | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Very Very Stella | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bolita Boyz | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Full Salute | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Fleet Attitude | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sand Shark | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bahnahno | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grassmiss | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Leah’s Dream | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rainy Night | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fair Regis | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lady Bergen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Double Mane | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Whim | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Persky’s Spirit | 50.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uno Dude | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Forres Lily | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Iron Power | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spin Cycle | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prophet’s Cat | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Chance | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Birchwood Road | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mobridge | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snake Oil Charlie | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoboe | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Graceful Gal | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | You Like That | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Alex the Terror | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Angry Moon | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ostrolenka | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candid Desire | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Stuff | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Get Game | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tiz Wicked | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Jegos Fire | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Enchanted Forest | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Danny’s Rush | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | O Captainmycaptain | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Grand Valour | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Ensign | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Quai Voltaire | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Frost Proof | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | For Pops | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Heart in Hand | 3.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | What a Culture | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Source Control | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tyndall | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.