September 20, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sicilia Mike | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Light the Vow | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toast to Ghost | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mydadfloyd | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mast Step | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dustys Dirtdevil | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frozen Angel | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The I Man | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ferrad’s Party | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Silver Assault | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Great Samurai | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Primo Pentimento | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perro Rojo | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prize Fight | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Hayes | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Pooch | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Auburn Avenue | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. McFrosty | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gun for Hire | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fire Away | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Rifle | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Manitoulin | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mark My Style | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Changewilldoyagood | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Skyler’s Lil Cutie | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | This Bird Can Sing | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Verona Blue | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 11 | Madeline’s Hope | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wanna Be Regal | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Terralsole | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Desert Affair | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laurel Lane | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lost On the Stairs | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 14 | Selling Stones | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Gem | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tough Old Bird | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Desert Lass | 6.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Hay Field | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Catania Rose | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Anna Liffey | 30.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Threesuesjazzcat | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 16 | Danny California | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 12 | Now a Factor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Rockin Jo | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thank You So Much | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Way Early | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Accolade | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Sicilia Sal | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Mr. Vincent | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Fun Prospect | 3.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Burkie | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Sir Frost | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Ten Eyck | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Gotham’s Storm | 5.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lewyville | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Debauchery | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Altar Boy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Montclair (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sunset District | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blarp | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Lewis Vale | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Motown Sound | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Rum Tum Tugger | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Indebted | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Rprettyboyfloyd | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 2 | Docs Legacy (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Glindas Good Karma | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phi Beta Express | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Old Dubai | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grumpelstiltskin | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Scramble | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy’s Hero | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Joseph A. Gimma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Newport Breeze | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girl’s Dance Party | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beaux Arts | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Berning Rose | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pauseforthecause | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Babe | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mystique | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Held Accountable | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Megstone | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Final Flurry | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Submit | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Free Kitty | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Furtive Glance | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lion in Wait | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nauti Belle | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Star Maven (IRE) | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stars Wilburn | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grevillea | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lemondrop Lollipop | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | More Than a Legend | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Dressing | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mama’s Red Hat | 50.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.