September 17, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Miss Contessa |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cunningham Creek |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Patrona |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fist Bump |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Troya |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bar Libre (IRE) |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Evil Twin |
2.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Stellamattutina |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Roses in the South |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Tizablizzard |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Happy River |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Helen Rose |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Forty Kilos |
1.80 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Derby Day Darling |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Hello Juliet |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Just Before |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Our Precious |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Competitive Player |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Coquivacoa |
2.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lady Greatness |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Valiant Princess |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
He Wears the Crown |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Toni Ann’s Miracle |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Stormymeister |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Prospective Moment |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Honor Causeway |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cosita Rica |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Catharsis |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
One Big Tease |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Crazy for Sofia |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Fancy City Girl |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tesora |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Close the Deal |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Elegante |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Captain Carol |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Quickluckycoco |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Duchess Abby |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Platinum Equity |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Maru’s Raven |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Max’s Causeway |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Master Manipulator |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Watschen |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Ovetchkin Jagr |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Empire Power |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Big Clue |
30.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ed’s Dog |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Metaphorically |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Collective Wisdom |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Joshua’s Comprise |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Global Entry |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Modern Tale |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bird Humor |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Silver Beach |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Kinghood |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Ranger’s Coming |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
A B G Dani |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Jack Wabbit |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
A B G Guerrero |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Mr. G T |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lucky Clemen |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Nonno Nino |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Here Comes Surgio |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mr. Morningstar |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Bucking Cat |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Stakes) – Perfect Season S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Mal Guapo |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Master Blender |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Indian Guide |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Abounding Legacy |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dream Saturday |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Gray Beau |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Minute Madness |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tamiami H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Brandy’s Girl |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Doctor J Dub |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Successful Native |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Enders Cat |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Extravagant Kid |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Diddley |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dubai Bob |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mongo Nation |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Apache Brave |
10.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cliffed |
12.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Shacklefords Storm |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Leverkusen |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
American Tzar |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Over Limit |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Madroos |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Bourbon City |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Giant Inka |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Clearly a Demon |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Gadsby Tavern |
3.50 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Dattts Arties Boy |
8.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Southern Sea |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Salute the Colonel |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
House Account |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Polished Steel |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Chief White Sox |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Gran Chief |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Visions of You |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Simmardstrike |
10.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Never Burn a Copy |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mr Palm Beach |
20.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Have a Brew |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Fuzzy Irish Rascal |
20.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Moirai |
30.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Thirsty Treats |
30.00 |
11.9 |
22-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.