Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 17, 2017

September 17, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Miss Contessa 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Cunningham Creek 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Patrona 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Fist Bump 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Troya 30.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Bar Libre (IRE) 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Evil Twin 2.50 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Stellamattutina 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Roses in the South 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tizablizzard 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Happy River 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Helen Rose 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Forty Kilos 1.80 4.9 9-1
7 7 Derby Day Darling 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Hello Juliet 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Just Before 20.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Our Precious 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Competitive Player 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Coquivacoa 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Lady Greatness 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Valiant Princess 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 He Wears the Crown 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Toni Ann’s Miracle 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Stormymeister 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Prospective Moment 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Honor Causeway 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Cosita Rica 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Catharsis 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 One Big Tease 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Crazy for Sofia 3.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Fancy City Girl 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Tesora 2.00 4 8-1
4 4 Close the Deal 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Elegante 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Captain Carol 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Quickluckycoco 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Duchess Abby 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Platinum Equity 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Maru’s Raven 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Max’s Causeway 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Master Manipulator 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Watschen 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Ovetchkin Jagr 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Empire Power 6.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Big Clue 30.00 7.1 14-1
7 7 Ed’s Dog 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Metaphorically 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Collective Wisdom 3.00 2.7 5-1 Scr
9 9 Joshua’s Comprise 30.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
1 1 Global Entry 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Modern Tale 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Bird Humor 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Silver Beach 3.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 Kinghood 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Ranger’s Coming 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 A B G Dani 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Jack Wabbit 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 A B G Guerrero 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Mr. G T 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Lucky Clemen 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Nonno Nino 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Here Comes Surgio 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Mr. Morningstar 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Bucking Cat 10.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Stakes) – Perfect Season S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Mal Guapo 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Master Blender 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Indian Guide 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Abounding Legacy 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Dream Saturday 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Gray Beau 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Minute Madness 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tamiami H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Brandy’s Girl 4.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Doctor J Dub 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Successful Native 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Enders Cat 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Extravagant Kid 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Diddley 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Dubai Bob 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Mongo Nation 6.00 7 13-1
1 1 Apache Brave 10.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Cliffed 12.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Shacklefords Storm 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Leverkusen 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 American Tzar 6.00 3.6 7-1 Scr
5 5 Over Limit 12.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Madroos 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Bourbon City 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Giant Inka 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Clearly a Demon 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Gadsby Tavern 3.50 7.1 14-1
3 3 Dattts Arties Boy 8.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Southern Sea 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Salute the Colonel 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 House Account 10.00 4 8-1
10 9 Polished Steel 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Chief White Sox 12.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Gran Chief 4.50 5.6 11-1
14 14 Visions of You 6.00 7 13-1 Scr
9 9 Simmardstrike 10.00 8.1 15-1 Scr
12 11 Never Burn a Copy 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Mr Palm Beach 20.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Have a Brew 15.00 10 19-1 Scr
1 1 Fuzzy Irish Rascal 20.00 11.4 22-1
5 5 Moirai 30.00 11.7 22-1
8 8 Thirsty Treats 30.00 11.9 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.